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21 May 2025, 05:43 [ UTC - 5; DST ]


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 17:30 
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Joined: 01/12/10
Posts: 541
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Location: Dallas, Texas
Aircraft: Piaggio P180, T-6
I agree with Chip the Cirrus sr22 to Piaggio jump would be too much for an inexperienced pilot.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 17:36 
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Username Protected wrote:
That story seems strange to most of you, because it was unusual for a guy with piston single time to have any hope to jump straight to turbines.


Really? I had 750 piston single hours 6.5 years ago and went right to the TBM. No one seemed to think that was unusual and I knew plenty that did it with less.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 17:38 
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Joined: 05/23/13
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Company: Jet Acquisitions
Location: Franklin, TN 615-739-9091 chip@jetacq.com
Username Protected wrote:

Confirming my argument. The Sf50 has already lost 1.3 million in value. In 6 years. Thats more than my yearly operating cost total for those 6 years.

The Piaggio has INCREASED in value 1 million in 6 years.

Your math doesn't math.

They are asking $1.850M and that airplane would have sold new in the mid $2M's

That's a $600k loss, not a $1.3M loss.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 17:44 
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Joined: 01/12/10
Posts: 541
Post Likes: +1007
Location: Dallas, Texas
Aircraft: Piaggio P180, T-6
Username Protected wrote:

Confirming my argument. The Sf50 has already lost 1.3 million in value. In 6 years. Thats more than my yearly operating cost total for those 6 years.

The Piaggio has INCREASED in value 1 million in 6 years.

Your math doesn't math.

They are asking $1.850M and that airplane would have sold new in the mid $2M's

That's a $600k loss, not a $1.3M loss.


Nope. …they are ASKING 1.78 …which means 1.7 or even 1.65 will buy it…. And new they sold base price 2.85 MM so…. 1.2mm my bad.

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Last edited on 12 May 2025, 17:49, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 17:46 
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Joined: 05/23/13
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Company: Jet Acquisitions
Location: Franklin, TN 615-739-9091 chip@jetacq.com
Username Protected wrote:
That story seems strange to most of you, because it was unusual for a guy with piston single time to have any hope to jump straight to turbines.


Really? I had 750 piston single hours 6.5 years ago and went right to the TBM. No one seemed to think that was unusual and I knew plenty that did it with less.


How much mentor time and yes, how much was your insurance.

I bought a guy a TBM while he was working on his private, but that first year was expensive and he had to fly with another pilot.

I may not have mentioned that my King Air 300 client didn't want to fly with another pilot. Not to build twin time (my suggestion) and certainly not on every trip for a year / 200 hours.

Yes, a TBM is easier than a King Air since it isn't a twin and a B200 is easier than a King Air 300 with a type rating.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 17:52 
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Joined: 09/20/14
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That's why my next plane will be this:

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Last edited on 12 May 2025, 17:54, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 17:53 
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Joined: 08/24/13
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Company: Aviation Tools / CCX
Location: KSMQ New Jersey
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Username Protected wrote:
How much mentor time and yes, how much was your insurance.

I bought a guy a TBM while he was working on his private, but that first year was expensive and he had to fly with another pilot.

I may not have mentioned that my King Air 300 client didn't want to fly with another pilot. Not to build twin time (my suggestion) and certainly not on every trip for a year / 200 hours.

Yes, a TBM is easier than a King Air since it isn't a twin and a B200 is easier than a King Air 300 with a type rating.


10 hours mentor time required, did 20. Insurance was less than $20K.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 18:02 
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Joined: 05/23/13
Posts: 7912
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Company: Jet Acquisitions
Location: Franklin, TN 615-739-9091 chip@jetacq.com
Username Protected wrote:
How much mentor time and yes, how much was your insurance.

I bought a guy a TBM while he was working on his private, but that first year was expensive and he had to fly with another pilot.

I may not have mentioned that my King Air 300 client didn't want to fly with another pilot. Not to build twin time (my suggestion) and certainly not on every trip for a year / 200 hours.

Yes, a TBM is easier than a King Air since it isn't a twin and a B200 is easier than a King Air 300 with a type rating.


10 hours mentor time required, did 20. Insurance was less than $20K.


Wow, that is really good!

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 18:23 
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Joined: 11/30/12
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Location: Santa Fe, NM (KSAF)
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Username Protected wrote:
Thats more than my yearly operating cost total for those 6 years.

The Piaggio has INCREASED in value 1 million in 6 years.


The Piaggio was $800k 6 years ago????

Out of curiosity, what was your TOTAL cost of ownership over the last six years? How much money left your wallet that was related to owning and operating your aircraft?

How much downtime did you have over 6 years?

We're still talking about bananas and potatoes, but I am really curious about the P.180 true costs and uptime. Some of the anecdotal stories on BT aren't encouraging.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 19:05 
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Username Protected wrote:

Confirming my argument. The Sf50 has already lost 1.3 million in value. In 6 years. Thats more than my yearly operating cost total for those 6 years.

The Piaggio has INCREASED in value 1 million in 6 years.


The early SF-50 buyers paid $1.39MM plus CPI from 2012, so around $1.5MM.

Every aircraft has increased in value over the last 6 years.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 20:29 
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Joined: 09/20/14
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Location: KBJC, KMCW, KVGT
Aircraft: G36TN, Great Lakes
Username Protected wrote:
Every aircraft has increased in value over the last 6 years.


Mostly true, but not always:

In February of 2022, you could have bought this 4 year old SF50 for $2.8mm

Attachment:
Screenshot 2025-05-12 171821.jpg


And today, you can buy a 4 year old SF50-G2 or G2+ for.... $2.8mm

But a 2018 SF50 now sells for $1.8mm (decreased $1mm in asking price)

The values have declined. The buying and selling prices in US dollars has increased thanks to inflation.

Year Inflation Rate
2019 2.30%
2020 1.40%
2021 7.00%
2022 6.50%
2023 3.40%
2024 2.9%

Cumulative, that's 25.8% inflation. If you have a desirable aircraft, you may have seen a slight increase in what you could sell it for, or buy an equivalent aircraft today. I know that is true of my G36. But it does not have really any greater value, just a higher price.

In November of 2020, you could have purchased a 2016 G36 for $795,000 (listed on Trade a Plane at that time). Right now, there are 2 2016 G36s for sale on TaP at $850k and $900k each.

I have a theory why a Bonanza holds it's value, but a SF50 does not, but I'd hate to speculate on BeechTalk.


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Last edited on 12 May 2025, 20:39, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 20:35 
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We weren’t tracking the SF50 market back in 2018, but I think the new ones were selling in the low $2M’s

Having said that, the early serials had some new airplane issues so I would expect prices on those to decline. I would also expect resale to be lackluster on SF50’s in general because of the combination of volume production and relatively short ownership periods.

The real question is what does Cirrus do when they reach market saturation?


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 20:52 
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Joined: 09/20/14
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Location: KBJC, KMCW, KVGT
Aircraft: G36TN, Great Lakes
I'm gonna post another fun comparison over on the "mustang is perfect for your mission" thread...

viewtopic.php?f=49&t=178204&p=3603264#p3603264

TLDR? Mustangs have held their prices as well as Bonanzas.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 21:29 
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Joined: 05/23/13
Posts: 7912
Post Likes: +10257
Company: Jet Acquisitions
Location: Franklin, TN 615-739-9091 chip@jetacq.com
Username Protected wrote:
I'm gonna post another fun comparison over on the "mustang is perfect for your mission" thread...

viewtopic.php?f=49&t=178204&p=3603264#p3603264

TLDR? Mustangs have held their prices as well as Bonanzas.


The airplane you used as an example was on the market for 1771 days, from 6/14/12 until 4/20/17 and did not sell.

I don’t know why it was on the market that long, but I assume it was the price.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 21:33 
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Joined: 05/23/13
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Company: Jet Acquisitions
Location: Franklin, TN 615-739-9091 chip@jetacq.com
When I am in front of my computer, I can look back at our archived notes and tell you more, but typically when someone buys an airplane and puts it back up for sale within a few months and then holds onto it, that is an indication that they put it out at a price they couldn’t say no to.


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