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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 07 Jan 2019, 20:01 
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Username Protected wrote:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Williams_FJ33
Applications

Adam A700
ATG Javelin
Cirrus Vision SF50
Diamond D-Jet
Epic Elite
Flaris LAR01
Spectrum S-33 Independence
Sport Jet II
Eclipse 700

Reads like the membership list for the Broken Dreams Jet Club. Selecting an FJ33 is like the kiss of death.

It should be noted that the FJ33-5A in the SF50 isn't a "true" FJ33. It's a modified FJ44-3AP. Williams found it more expedient to adapt an FJ44 than provide a true FJ33. Thus the FJ33-5A is on the FJ44 type certificate. Maybe that's why the SF50 is the only plane listed above to make it to deliveries.

There is a "true" FJ33, the FJ33-4A-15. It has been certified, on its own type certificate, and was slated to power the D-Jet, but that program was canceled. It was too weak for the SF50.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 07 Jan 2019, 20:04 
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too late now but better choices out there?

missed this part..

Major applications
Diamond D-Jet
Cirrus Vision SF50

thoughts on this?
Quote:
Below the jet’s ruddervator tail is the aircraft’s yaw stability augmentation system that comprises of two small surfaces on the aft end of the strakes. From the runway to 200 feet AGL, the surfaces automatically provide provides a “weak” yaw damp. After 200 feet, the yaw damp kicks in with more force.
http://twinandturbine.com/article/cirrus-vision-jet/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Williams_FJ44
Major applications
Beechcraft Premier I
Cessna CitationJet
PiperJet Altaire
Saab 105
Grob G180 SPn
Developed into Williams FJ33

i see 3 citation models using FJ44 variants here
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cessna_Citation_family

Applications
L-39 with the FJ44-4M engine

Source:[8]

FJ44
trainer

Aero L-39NG
Alenia Aermacchi M-345
Saab 105

business jet

Beechcraft Premier I
Eviation Jets EV-20 Vantage Jet
Cessna CitationJet
Grob G180 SPn
Hawker 200
Pilatus PC-24
Piper PA-47 PiperJet/Altaire
Scaled Composites Triumph
SyberJet SJ30

https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news ... a-turbofan

http://www.flaris.pl/offer/

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 01:36 
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Username Protected wrote:
To make the TF60 profitable? Likely.

But that's true of the SF50 as well.

Total program costs, development, manufacturing, support, and liability, I think the SF50 and TF60 are a wash. They will sell more TF60s.


We have no way to judge profitability, but I bet they would sell more SF50s for $2.5MM than TF60s for $3.5MM.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 01:41 
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Username Protected wrote:
We have no way to judge profitability, but I bet they would sell more SF50s for $2.5MM than TF60s for $3.5MM.

Not clear to me that is true. The TF60 would be such a far superior airplane that it may well sell as well or better at that premium.

In any case, the TF60 won't cost appreciably more to make than an SF50, so it would be vastly more profitable if that is the pricing.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 01:43 
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Username Protected wrote:
thoughts on this?

You write vague posts.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 05:35 
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meant this i think computerized auto yaw damper deal, good? bad? necessary?

what if it quits, acts up or jams?
Quote:
Below the jet’s ruddervator tail is the aircraft’s yaw stability augmentation system that comprises of two small surfaces on the aft end of the strakes. From the runway to 200 feet AGL, the surfaces automatically provide provides a “weak” yaw damp. After 200 feet, the yaw damp kicks in with more force.

in this link
http://twinandturbine.com/article/cirrus-vision-jet/

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 09:37 
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Why would the "hypothetical" TF60 be $3.5MM when a new HondaJet is $5MM and a new M2 is $5MM and a new Phenom 100 is $5MM??


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 09:54 
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Username Protected wrote:
Why would the "hypothetical" TF60 be $3.5MM when a new HondaJet is $5MM and a new M2 is $5MM and a new Phenom 100 is $5MM??

Same reason a P100 is half the price of a P300.

It's smaller.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 09:59 
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Username Protected wrote:
thoughts on this?

You write vague posts.

Mike C.

I believe he also hates sentences. However, he is a big fan of the URL.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 10:02 
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The longer this thread goes on, the less I think jet prices are connected to costs.
For example, Cessna dropping the M2 prices when Mustang production ended.

I think Cessna and the others just charge what the market will bear to maximize profits. This was the model that allowed TBM and Pilatus to effectively create the SETP market.

Cessna never bothered to reply with a SETP until PC12 was used as a launch platform for the PC24 which threatens the profit centers of the jet business.

So the fact that Cessna has never built a single engine jet is largely meaningless; they reply to market demand that is proven by a competitor or a single large customer; e.g. FedEx came to them with a demand and promise for a huge order, and the result was the Caravan.

Tim


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 10:04 
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Username Protected wrote:
Same reason a P100 is half the price of a P300.

It's smaller.

Mike C.

"Size" isn't the only reason.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 10:06 
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Username Protected wrote:
The longer this thread goes on, the less I think jet prices are connected to costs.
For example, Cessna dropping the M2 prices when Mustang production ended.

I think Cessna and the others just charge what the market will bear to maximize profits. This was the model that allowed TBM and Pilatus to effectively create the SETP market.

Tim

Ya think? Wow, you engineer types are genius.... ha.

Why would one maximize profits when one could just sell something for a % of cost?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 10:10 
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Username Protected wrote:
So the fact that Cessna has never built a single engine jet is largely meaningless

Cessna (and every other jet maker) never built an SEJ because they know it isn't a viable product.

Far from being a threat, the SF50 is a gateway drug to real jets. The SF50 is not stealing a single sale from any of those, but creating a new potential customer base.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 10:11 
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Username Protected wrote:
The SF50 is not stealing a single sale from any of those, but creating a new potential customer base.

Mike C.

That's where the market is.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2019, 10:16 
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Username Protected wrote:
So the fact that Cessna has never built a single engine jet is largely meaningless

Cessna (and every other jet maker) never built an SEJ because they know it isn't a viable product.

Far from being a threat, the SF50 is a gateway drug to real jets. The SF50 is not stealing a single sale from any of those, but creating a new potential customer base.

Mike C.


Probably yes and no. I do know people that would have moved into a SETP or a new or used light jet if the SF50 didn't pop up. So yes it is stealing sales. However, the unknown, as people realize the range and payload limitation of the SF50, how many will move up into a SETP or light jet for the increased speed, range, payload available? This is not a bad thing, but sure to happen. Personally, I think the more people that get into turbines the better. Turbines are safer, more capable, fly more, and support the GA infrastructure better. i.e: brings more money into the system.
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