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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 20:18 
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Username Protected wrote:
So, for Beechcraft that would $9,000,000/12 = $750,000 per Bonanza? :scratch:


Russ:

No they have a few other types of planes (numbers) to spread the love(premiums).

:D Let's hope they keep churning them out!

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 20:19 
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Username Protected wrote:
Maybe 30k is Cirrus's ante but tort law would ripple through the whole supply chain, TCM and garmin and on down. Probably shave 100k off and over regulation takes care of the rest.


Adam:

I think you are totally correct, and for sure all of the airplane and parts manufactures would be the first to say thank you.

Now how the attorney's would feel, that is a question I hope one will step up and answer.

Rick


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 20:25 
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I wish these cost of tort calculations could be as simple as splitting the annual premiums.

There's a lot more risk management than buying policies. For example Cirrus bought me a brand new DFC90 and MFD due to the envelope protection it provides over the 55X.

I sure wish we were not as litigious as we are.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:00 
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Username Protected wrote:
Have I entered the Twilight Zone and ended up on the COPA site? Image

No, just the COPA thread. :D

Feel free to start a thread about all the new stuff going on at Beechcraft.



:coffee:

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:03 
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Username Protected wrote:
Ok, fair enough. Is this thread for the one person on BT that said they were planning on buying a G36 TC or the potential 250 that MAY buy a Cirrus G5 in the next 12 months?

There is an decent argument to make that this is the least relevant Hall of Fame thread ever on BT. :D

Not one contributor to this thread is going to buy either.


I would not make that bet if I were you.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:08 
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Username Protected wrote:
Ok, fair enough. Is this thread for the one person on BT that said they were planning on buying a G36 TC or the potential 250 that MAY buy a Cirrus G5 in the next 12 months?

There is an decent argument to make that this is the least relevant Hall of Fame thread ever on BT. :D

Not one contributor to this thread is going to buy either.


I would not make that bet if I were you.


I for one agree with Tom!

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:10 
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Username Protected wrote:
A soup to nuts RV10 costs 150k to build in a garage and a man year. If that man year is 100k fully loaded, less if you can do a lot of it in India, Mexico or Philippines, then how does 850k make sense for either Cirrus OR Beech? Take over regulation and tort out of this and a new Bo should cost $400k, the company profitable and selling 500 a year. If you're selling 13 planes a year you lose money even if they triple the price... Cirrus is probably barely breaking even at 20x that number. They need an order of magnitude increase in sales and that will only come if the gov gets out of the way and levels or nearly levels the playing field with the exp guys.


If you eliminated all tort reform, it would reduce the cost of a Cirrus by $30,000. Assuming my previous known Product Liability premiums are still correct for them as of last year.
$9,000,000 premium divided by 300 units = $30,000 per plane.

I am personally aware of many airplane and engine manufacturers who are going with out Product Liability insurance right now.

As one owner told me, we are betting the business if we get sued.


Rick, what is covered under the product liability policy? Is a Breach of Warranty claim covered under the policy?
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:12 
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Username Protected wrote:
Maybe 30k is Cirrus's ante but tort law would ripple through the whole supply chain, TCM and garmin and on down. Probably shave 100k off and over regulation takes care of the rest.


Agree with this. It starts with the simplest nut and bolt stamped "aviation", and proceeds up through the entire assembly.

At every step of the game, that little slice is added in as a percentage. The bolts that go in your mags, which go in your engine, which go in the airplane.

It's not additive, but compounding.

If you want to see something similar in action, take a look at health care from a hospital. Look at the cost of something as simple as a syringe, that probably costs 0.05 to produce, but then look at what it costs on your final bill.

My guess is that easily 1/3 to 1/2 of the final tab is going to insurance, lawyers, or the administration to support them.

The $64,000,000 question is how do Ford, GM or the other car makers handle it? If I'm beeboping down the road, and someone hits me while fiddling with their car radio, do I get to sue the brake manufacturer, since they obviously were deficient in providing brakes that stop cars instantaneously, as well as the radio people for designing a car radio that can be tuned while in motion?

Let me make it clear that I have no malice towards the legal profession in the responsible (and desirable) process of torts. There is clearly a need for proceedings of this nature. But if 1/3 of the purchase price of a product is made of coverage for this kind of thing, then something is askew.

Best,
Rich


Last edited on 21 May 2013, 21:20, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:18 
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Username Protected wrote:
Rick, what is covered under the product liability policy? Is a Breach of Warranty claim covered under the policy?


Since we place many of these and I've placed large OEM policies I'll answer as well. They mainly cover accidents (occurrences) resulting from the alleged failure of the product. If an occurrence leads to a fleet grounding, most of the policies provide coverage for that liability as well.

It's the defense costs more than the actual claims paid that are very costly. Plaintiff attorneys file plenty of suits, like shooting darts, to see if one sticks and each has to be taken seriously and defended at considerable expense.

Best,

AG
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:19 
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Username Protected wrote:

I for one agree with Tom!


Tony is referring to someone here actively buying a G5 right now :D

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:26 
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There is an decent argument to make that this is the least relevant Hall of Fame thread ever on BT.

I should have been clearer, this is the part of Tom's post that I agree with.

I believe I know of the BT'er purchasing the G5.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:29 
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AG

Thanks for your excellent answer, it goes back to your earlier post of we sure sue one another an awful lot.
Imagine the attorney fees, paid in full or part by Cirrus or their carrier to defend the Cory Lytle case?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:31 
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insane costs for insane allegations :pullhair:

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:36 
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Username Protected wrote:


It's the defense costs more than the actual claims paid that are very costly. Plaintiff attorneys file plenty of suits, like shooting darts, to see if one sticks and each has to be taken seriously and defended at considerable expense.

Best,

AG


No, let's say the wing falls off. No one is hurt. Cirrus won't fix it to my satisfaction and tells me to pound sand. I file a claim (which is the only thing I can do other than pound sand) is that a covered loss under the policy? What if no lawsuit is filed, but the case is settled, is that a covered loss? What about a product defect recall from an AD is that covered? Remember the people bringing breach of warranty claims...are you, not some lawyer. :peace:

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 21 May 2013, 21:41 
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Username Protected wrote:
No, let's say the wing falls off. No one is hurt. Cirrus won't fix it to my satisfaction and tells me to pound sand. I file a claim (which is the only thing I can do other than pound sand) is that a covered loss under the policy? What if no lawsuit is filed, but the case is settled, is that a covered loss? What about a product defect recall from an AD is that covered? Remember the people bringing breach of warranty claims...are you, not some lawyer. :peace:


:D The key word is "occurrence" - an accident has to trigger the claim. If the wing fell off you have every right to file a claim alleging the product failed. The wing falling off is the occurrence.

There is no coverage for recalls or breach of warranty claims under the Aviation Products Liability policy.

edit - of course no lawsuit is necessary, you can simply file a claim. But the lawsuit means they are already looking at defense costs and the possibility of settlement is arguably more likely.

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