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21 May 2025, 14:00 [ UTC - 5; DST ]


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:10 
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Joined: 08/20/09
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You lost the SF50 debate a long time ago Mike. Take your lumps, it'll be ok.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:11 
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What the rest of us see:

Username Protected wrote:
I've never flown one, and you're wrong.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:16 
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Joined: 12/03/14
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Company: Ciholas, Inc
Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
Username Protected wrote:
Cirrus is following a well known and worn path to failure. [...] There's nothing they are doing that several other companies haven't already failed at.

Let's show the whole quote:

---

We should keep a running total of the SEJ projects:

Gulfstream Peregrine.

Eclipse EA400.

Piper PiperJet.

Diamond DiamondJet.

CenturyJet.

Stratus 714.

Visionaire Vantage.

Flaris LAR-01.

Excel-Jet Sport-Jet.

Comp Air Jet.

Cirrus SF50.

Any more?

Number of certified SEJs: Zero.

Cirrus is following a well known and worn path to failure. I don't know why they should be applauded for that. There's nothing they are doing that several other companies haven't already failed at.

---

The above is true, the path to failure for SEJs was well worn. Everyone of the above failed to reach market except the SF50.

Cirrus took an exit from the path when they decided to cripple the plane to low altitudes. Thus they avoided the regulatory block that keeps single engine jets from working efficiently. But the penalty was a short range, inefficient airplane. They even promoted as such, the lowest, slowest jet, like that was something special.

Basically, they failed to achieve a jet that really work well. They succeeded at marketing it to piston pilots. It could have been so much better.

Had Cirrus done the same thing for the SR22, it would be a 130 knot airplane today. They went from building a leading piston aircraft to building the worst performing jet available.

Mike C.
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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:18 
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Joined: 12/03/14
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Username Protected wrote:
You lost the SF50 debate a long time ago Mike.

I'm not here to win, I'm here to educate for those who still have open minds.

You should ignore what I post since you have formed a hard opinion.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:18 
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Joined: 11/30/12
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Location: Santa Fe, NM (KSAF)
Aircraft: B200, 500B
Username Protected wrote:
5. A quiet cabin.

Mr Investor wrote on BT:

"But unless comparing to a piston, I have never heard the Vision described as quiet."

That has to be the most bizarre delusional exchange ever on BT. Let's boil it down:

First, an SF50 owner says the cabin is quiet. Mike quotes him.

Then, Mike quotes a 3rd party who has never owned an SF50 as saying that they have never heard anyone describe the cabin as quiet - right after Mike personally saw an owner describe the cabin as quiet.

Mike gives the hearsay of hearsay precedence over his own eyes. I don't know what kind of twisted brain is required to think that is logical, but Mike loses touch with logic when he talks about the SF50.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:23 
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Joined: 01/07/21
Posts: 405
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Aircraft: M20J/R, Sr22, SR20
Username Protected wrote:
Was just asked via pm about the current market, so thought I would share here.

It’s weird right now, things are slow, I can tell from talking to the brokers and dealers, mainly because they answer the phone, or call back quickly!

But, we aren’t seeing a lot of motivated sellers yet and the overall feel is actually quite positive. I think everyone assumes the Trump tax plan will pass and aircraft sales will skyrocket again, so there’s a lot of waiting.

We are seeing a decline in a few markets, that decline being caused by prices that were over-inflated coming down after a lack of sales created excess inventory. A notable example is late model PC12NG’s, we’ve helped clients buy two in the last couple of months.

As always, one model… one market.

Meaning the “market” is actually a combination of multiple model specific sub-markets, to buy today you need to become an expert in whatever model market you are in.


Would not this be true in any market conditions? Some sell, some slow down? Prices go up and down. Come on Chip, sounds like you're trying to keep it positive. What's the real deal?


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:29 
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Joined: 08/20/09
Posts: 2509
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Company: Jcrane, Inc.
Location: KVES Greenville, OH
Aircraft: C441, RV7A
Username Protected wrote:
You lost the SF50 debate a long time ago Mike.

I'm not here to win, I'm here to educate for those who still have open minds.

You should ignore what I post since you have formed a hard opinion.

Mike C.

What are you trying to educate?

The SF50 is everywhere...I see them on ramps often and heard a few on freq today, seems like they're happily cruising along at 280-310.

I have no opinion, hard or soft, just observing reality.
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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 19:51 
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Location: KBED, KCRE
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What's wrong with the low FL30s flying? That's where I fly most of the time in a twin jet engine plane. Why? It's the fastest from point A to point B most of the time for me. It's my highest TAS and it means I'm climbing less and cruising more. Sure PPH suffers but if I don't need the range, why would I fly slower, higher?

Chip-


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 11 May 2025, 21:14 
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Joined: 07/21/08
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Username Protected wrote:
What's wrong with the low FL30s flying? That's where I fly most of the time in a twin jet engine plane. Why? It's the fastest from point A to point B most of the time for me. It's my highest TAS and it means I'm climbing less and cruising more. Sure PPH suffers but if I don't need the range, why would I fly slower, higher?

Chip-

Because Mike said so.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 08:51 
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Joined: 01/12/10
Posts: 542
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Location: Dallas, Texas
Aircraft: Piaggio P180, T-6
Username Protected wrote:
What's wrong with the low FL30s flying? That's where I fly most of the time in a twin jet engine plane. Why? It's the fastest from point A to point B most of the time for me. It's my highest TAS and it means I'm climbing less and cruising more. Sure PPH suffers but if I don't need the range, why would I fly slower, higher?

Chip-



Because it’s the heart of thunderstorms in the south Chip. Worst place to be.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 09:21 
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Joined: 09/22/21
Posts: 31
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Aircraft: SF50
Username Protected wrote:

an M2 will run circles around the SF50 in speed, range, payload, safety, etc. I bet the M2 is a lot cheaper to insure.


M2 Max cruise at FL410 = +/- 390 KTAS
SF50 Max Cruise at FL310 = + 310 KTAS

M2 Range @ Max Cruise with a 200nm alternate to empty = 1,247 nm
SF50 Range @ Max Cruise with a 200nm alternate to empty - 987 nm

M2 Payload, full fuel to MTOW (my plane) = 540 lbs
SF50 Payload (my plane), full fuel to MTOW = 358 lbs (4 seats installed)

* the M2 will take an additional 100 lbs of fuel beyond book, allowing for a bit more range, but a bit less full fuel payload.

Safety: Debatable, assuming the same pilot qualifications in both aircraft. I could make arguments both ways.

Insurance: I have paid about 1% of hull value for each of these planes, with the same liability coverage each time. Accordingly, the M2 is considerably more expensive to insure. My CJ3+ is just under 1%, but I think that is partially attributable to a better market now, than a couple of years ago.

I think it is fair top say that my M2 is roughly close to 2X the ownership cost of the SF50. I'd have to do the numbers, but I think I am close.

If my mission were 600nm to 800nm, I would go back to the SF50 in a heartbeat. If I needed shorter field performance, or more range/payload I would go with a SETP. If I wanted to go with an older airframe, I think you nailed it with your V, which obviously provides a great combination of economics and performance.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 09:24 
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Joined: 12/30/15
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Location: NH; KLEB
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Username Protected wrote:
Had Cirrus done the same thing for the SR22, it would be a 130 knot airplane today. They went from building a leading piston aircraft to building the worst performing jet available.

Mike C.



The market has spoken. Some of us may not agree with market choices, but our disagreement, except for our own, particular situation, is largely irrelevant.

For years Apple had a much simpler, more robust operating system. Some would say it still does. But it did not matter, for lots of reasons, some software related, Microsoft largely owns the PC operating system world. We can rail about whether we agree with it or not, but our railing is largely irrelevant.

Same with Cirrus. Looked hard at the Cirrus piston single. There are aspects of it that we did not like, and went the twin route. Doesn't matter... they build the most popular, single engine piston in the world.

OK Cirrus jet.... we can rail all we want about what we perceive, at an individual level, are its benefits and its shortcomings. Does not matter... they delivered 101 units in 2024. That's right over one hundred, single engine jets. And people who are buying new SF50s have made enough $$ to afford same. So in some respects, they have made some good decisions in their lives. They are not all stupid or ignorant of the SF50 benefits and limitations. They have just decided that for their mission, the benefits outweigh the limitations.

Given the market success of their piston singles and single engine jets, not sure I would be first in line to question the wisdom of Cirrus' product decisions.

Don't know why on earth folks cannot just accept that we have different tastes, different pocketbooks, different missions, different preferences. It is OK that people like different things and make different purchasing decisions. If everyone liked the same "stuff" the demand would make things even pricer and less affordable.

Some of us like esoteric, no longer made, turbo props and legacy jets. Super, enjoy, seriously enjoy every minute. Some of us like different planes... even Cirri.... let those enjoy them.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 09:36 
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Username Protected wrote:

an M2 will run circles around the SF50 in speed, range, payload, safety, etc. I bet the M2 is a lot cheaper to insure.


M2 Max cruise at FL410 = +/- 390 KTAS
SF50 Max Cruise at FL310 = + 310 KTAS

M2 Range @ Max Cruise with a 200nm alternate to empty = 1,247 nm
SF50 Range @ Max Cruise with a 200nm alternate to empty - 987 nm

M2 Payload, full fuel to MTOW (my plane) = 540 lbs
SF50 Payload (my plane), full fuel to MTOW = 358 lbs (4 seats installed)

* the M2 will take an additional 100 lbs of fuel beyond book, allowing for a bit more range, but a bit less full fuel payload.

Safety: Debatable, assuming the same pilot qualifications in both aircraft. I could make arguments both ways.

Insurance: I have paid about 1% of hull value for each of these planes, with the same liability coverage each time. Accordingly, the M2 is considerably more expensive to insure. My CJ3+ is just under 1%, but I think that is partially attributable to a better market now, than a couple of years ago.

I think it is fair top say that my M2 is roughly close to 2X the ownership cost of the SF50. I'd have to do the numbers, but I think I am close.

If my mission were 600nm to 800nm, I would go back to the SF50 in a heartbeat. If I needed shorter field performance, or more range/payload I would go with a SETP. If I wanted to go with an older airframe, I think you nailed it with your V, which obviously provides a great combination of economics and performance.



High quality post. Thanks for sharing the details.
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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 09:45 
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Posts: 542
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Location: Dallas, Texas
Aircraft: Piaggio P180, T-6
All this talk about quiet and roomy interiors in 4 million dollar aircraft is frankly laughable compared to the Piaggio Avanti. The SF50 is a garbage truck in comparison to the Piaggios cabin comfort and speed… for 1/2 the money (and 70 knots faster).


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 12 May 2025, 10:09 
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Joined: 11/30/12
Posts: 4784
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Location: Santa Fe, NM (KSAF)
Aircraft: B200, 500B
Username Protected wrote:
All this talk about quiet and roomy interiors in 4 million dollar aircraft is frankly laughable compared to the Piaggio Avanti. The SF50 is a garbage truck in comparison to the Piaggios cabin comfort and speed… for 1/2 the money (and 70 knots faster).


Why did you compare the new price of one plane to the used price of the other?

Do they have similar operating costs?


IMO, you’re comparing a banana and an end table. Wildly different buyers, missions, markets, etc.


Last edited on 12 May 2025, 10:11, edited 1 time in total.

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