23 May 2025, 16:36 [ UTC - 5; DST ]
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 17 Dec 2023, 20:18 |
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Joined: 08/16/15 Posts: 3380 Post Likes: +4858 Location: Ogden UT
Aircraft: Piper M600
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Username Protected wrote: In this case, the poster has a primary mission of Indy to KSRQ or KVNC. About 800 nm with routing. You need at least a 1200 nm plane to do that reliably, and maybe more if you take a lot of cabin payload.
The NBAA IFR range of the Mustang is 963 nm. It will end up not doing that trip non stop some number of times. A CJ1 NBAA IFR range is 1127 nm, it would be a better fit and do that flight probably 95% or better. A CJ2 is 1648 nm, so it easily does this trip non stop, but the price is quite high for those.
One of the reasons NBAA made the NBAA IFR profile was to force some sanity in the range specs for airplanes. The brochure numbers were overpromising.
I've never heard an owner say his plane had too much range. I've heard the opposite a lot.
Mike C. There are no environmental conditions in which an M600 doesn’t make that trip non-stop. Today KIND to KNVC takes 130 gallons in 2:53. With very little fuel needed, you can carry 1150 in the cabin with IFR plus mandatory alternate fuel. Could carry more but the limit is zero fuel weight. If the weather in Florida is bad, could call an audible and make the trip to phoenix, 1284 nm with 34 knots on the nose. But that is a loooong flight. So take the jet.  But still only 220 gallons.
_________________ Chuck Ivester Piper M600 Ogden UT
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 17 Dec 2023, 20:52 |
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Joined: 11/30/12 Posts: 4790 Post Likes: +5413 Location: Santa Fe, NM (KSAF)
Aircraft: B200, 500B
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Username Protected wrote: This is probably a simple question, but it doesn't seem to have been answered in anything that I have directly read. When you say a jet is safer than a twin, is that because the engines are more reliable or because a single engine failure is easier to deal with in a jet?
It seems like I've seen a few articles about twin engine planes going into a spin when they lose one engine, so is that what you mean? There are a few reasons: Jet engines are more reliable. Turboprops are vey reliable, jet engines are extremely reliable. With both engines, not only are you unlikely to ever have a failure, you are unlikely to personally know someone who has ever had a failure. Now IF you have a failure… Jets are overpowered. By that I mean all business jets are able to climb very well on the thrust of just one engine. Most larger turboprops do fine on one engine, but they will not climb as steeply. This isn’t a huge factor except perhaps in the mountains. Some twin turboprops (early long body MU-2, early Cheyenne) don’t climb well at gross weight on one engine. A turboprop pilot must react correctly when an engine fails. He generally does not have to react with lightning speed, but he MUST act, and act correctly. When a jet engine fails, the jet pilot has to do….almost nothing. A jet pilot who takes no action after an engine failure is much safer than a turboprop pilot who takes no action.
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 18 Dec 2023, 01:04 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20062 Post Likes: +25164 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: When you say a jet is safer than a twin, is that because the engines are more reliable or because a single engine failure is easier to deal with in a jet? Yes. To both. And there is more to it. The jet profiles are safe with an engine failure *at any point*. Turboprops generally are not. For example, pilots rarely use the accel stop or accel go distance when using a turboprop, but all jet takeoffs are computed that way. The high thrust at lower altitudes means the jet climbs out very easily on one engine. Turboprops, when high, hot, heavy, don't do nearly as well. There is no prop to fail. There is no feathering of the wrong prop. There is no Vmc rollvoer. The accident stats bear this out jet as far and away safer than turboprops. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 18 Dec 2023, 13:07 |
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Joined: 07/01/19 Posts: 169 Post Likes: +143 Location: KHPN
Aircraft: C90
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Username Protected wrote: Only reason to not own a jet is you simply can not afford it. If you can then there is no reason to be in a plane with props. Not entirely true; There are real world runway limitations on turbojet aircraft, as alluded to before; especially those without the use of TRs. I'll give you with the problem as presented a jet answers the mail, but we don't have the complete information. What if his site in Chicago is right next to Schaumburg, IL? ORD is not a realistic option, DuPage and Palwaukee aren't close by either. I'm talking my book, for sure but the bottom line is a TP can get in and out of everywhere a light jet can. The same cannot be said in reverse.
_________________ I fly because it releases my mind from the tyranny of petty things... -Antoine de St.-Exupery
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 18 Dec 2023, 14:05 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20062 Post Likes: +25164 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: I'll give you with the problem as presented a jet answers the mail, but we don't have the complete information. What if his site in Chicago is right next to Schaumburg, IL? ORD is not a realistic option, DuPage and Palwaukee aren't close by either. I presume you are indicating 06C with a runway that is 3800 x 100 ft. Citation V at max gross can use that runway up to 30 C for takeoff. At 40 C (about record high temp), you need to drop 900 lbs which is ~300 nm range if you need max cabin load. These figures are *WITH* an engine failure at the worst possible time, and clearing the far end of the runway by 35 ft when it does occur at or above V1. Landing dry is no problem at max landing weight (and even at overweight max takeoff weight). This is with crossing the runway threshold at 50 ft high, so you waste the first 1000 ft of runway. Wet corrections are no problem with TRs. They add less than 100 ft to dry distances. For ice, the adder is about 1000 ft, so you need a book dry length of 2800 ft. That is achievable by dropping 900 lbs at 0 C (since it will be cold). I don't imagine this happens very often at 06C. Quote: I'm talking my book, for sure but the bottom line is a TP can get in and out of everywhere a light jet can. The same cannot be said in reverse. If you operate the turboprop under the same conditions, that is, you maintain accel-go and accel-stop distances, you will find many of them DO NOT fit at 06C. For example, a 441 Conquest II (chosen because I have data for it) at gross weight will need temps to be 0 C or colder to meet accel-go at 06C. For an MU2 M model, the book says a normal takeoff at max weight will take 3800 ft at 0 C, and this is NOT accel-go which would be longer. The MU2 book is very pessimistic, though, over the real airplane capability. Turboprop landing will be okay, but the takeoff is the limiting factor on using the airport. In short, some jets CAN beat some turboprops on runway usage when you fly them to the same requirement. Turboprops appear to be better because they are allowed to operate where you may die if an engine fails. This isn't true for jets. If I lived near 06C, I'd be reasonably comfortable basing my plane there due to the runway length. KDPA is a close by alternate if any of the runway conditions at 06C are not to your liking. The main issue with 06C is the lack of any IAPs. That would be far more limiting than the runway. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 18 Dec 2023, 14:31 |
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Joined: 08/16/15 Posts: 3380 Post Likes: +4858 Location: Ogden UT
Aircraft: Piper M600
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Username Protected wrote: The accident stats bear this out jet as far and away safer than turboprops.
Mike C. Hmmm. I must be crazy, every day endangering my fiends and family. If only I bought a a Jet as old as me. I don't think you can make that blanket statement. Especially not single owner pilot stats in legacy jets. That is a small sub fraction of biz jets and the record is far from perfect. Compare apples to apples. Modern light jets to modern SETP's. Few of them beat the Pilatus, and none beat the Piper GX000, the GX000 being the avionics installed since 2009. There are more GX000 Piper turbines flying (GX000 Meridian/M500/M600) than Phenom 100's, Mustangs, SF50's and Eclipse jets. All of them have suffered at least one fatal on the ground or in the air. The Piper GX000 to date has 0 fatals. Could be one today or tomorrow, people and machines aren't perfect. But there is no significant delta there. Safety record of the V. 28 hull losses and 44 fatalities. Attachment: 1.jpg
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_________________ Chuck Ivester Piper M600 Ogden UT
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 19 Dec 2023, 10:18 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20062 Post Likes: +25164 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: The Piper GX000 to date has 0 fatals. Low probability statistics are fun, you can cherry pick anything you want to support any conclusion. As far as I know, there are 0 fatals with Garmin TXi panel equipped Citation Vs, too. The twin engine jet design is intrinsically safer than the turboprop. Whether the pilot cancels that advantage is another matter. If you knew an engine would fail on takeoff, would you fly a Meridian or a Citation? No contest. If an SETP was safer, airliners would be built that way. They are not. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 19 Dec 2023, 11:15 |
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Joined: 11/30/12 Posts: 4790 Post Likes: +5413 Location: Santa Fe, NM (KSAF)
Aircraft: B200, 500B
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Username Protected wrote: The Piper GX000 to date has 0 fatals. Low probability statistics are fun, you can cherry pick anything you want to support any conclusion. It’s not cherry picked at all. Hundreds of Piper GX000s have have been built, and since their production started at least seventeen people have died in a Citation 560.
You rail against “low probability statistics” and then bring up EFATO. 
I must admit I was surprised to see that number, but it’s very much worth looking at. One thing that’s clear is that for the Piper airframe, an engine failure does not automatically lead to a crash, and a crash does not automatically lead to fatalities.
Just because it doesn’t fit your preset narrative doesn’t mean it should be ignored.
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 19 Dec 2023, 12:15 |
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Joined: 02/22/10 Posts: 970 Post Likes: +1486 Location: Milwaukee WI
Aircraft: Ex J35, Onex
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Username Protected wrote: The Piper GX000 to date has 0 fatals. Low probability statistics are fun, you can cherry pick anything you want to support any conclusion. Mike C.
I get a kick out of people who criticize statistics and don’t even know what a statistic is. A statistic is a quantity computed from a sample to estimate a population parameter. If you wanted to know, for example, the percentage of people who are male in the city of Oshkosh, WI, you could hire people to go door to door and determine the sex of every person in the city of Oshkosh. If you did this, you would be determining the actual population parameter. Since this is costly to do, an alternative is to sample the population and calculate a statistic from that sample. In this case you are estimating the population parameter. “The Piper GX000 to date has 0 fatals.” is the actual population parameter, it is not a statistic. That is the actual true number, not an estimate from a sample.
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 19 Dec 2023, 13:19 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20062 Post Likes: +25164 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: To my knowledge no engine fatals in the PC12 or Piper’s. N2445F, 2/13/2022, at KOJC. Clearly a glass machine: Attachment: 50047_1534208202.jpg Clearly a dead pilot: Attachment: n2445f-accident.png NTSB: "The unknown emergency that warranted a return to the airport and the airspeed decay which resulted in an aerodynamic stall." In other words, loss of thrust right after liftoff. Sorting for fatal Piper turbine "46" accidents produces 27 hits. I only looked at the first one and it was this one. Anyone who reads your posts and concludes the PA46 is somehow immune to fatal accidents is being sorely misled. Mike C.
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_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 19 Dec 2023, 13:28 |
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Joined: 10/30/23 Posts: 13
Aircraft: N/A
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I've started looking at the M600s quite a bit as well. It seems like you can get into a relatively new one around the $2.5M price point and they "should" cost a lot less per hour, especially the non-Florida missions from KUMP.
Completely different starting point and capabilities than the CJ or 501, I get it. On a positive note, the engagement and helpfulness of the people on here has been fantastic. I was able to explain to my wife that plane people are like boat people (crusiers, not speed or watersports) in that they love to talk about and show other people their equipment and are very helpful.
It has helped me settle out one point for sure, as I know I don't want to have a future plane in charter. I have done that with big boats before and it just isn't worth it.
Thanks all.
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Post subject: Re: Best plane for mission profile Posted: 19 Dec 2023, 14:45 |
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Joined: 07/14/17 Posts: 386 Post Likes: +149 Company: Finch Industries,Inc. Location: Thomasville,NC
Aircraft: TBM900,M600
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Username Protected wrote: I've started looking at the M600s quite a bit as well. It seems like you can get into a relatively new one around the $2.5M price point and they "should" cost a lot less per hour, especially the non-Florida missions from KUMP.
Completely different starting point and capabilities than the CJ or 501, I get it. On a positive note, the engagement and helpfulness of the people on here has been fantastic. I was able to explain to my wife that plane people are like boat people (crusiers, not speed or watersports) in that they love to talk about and show other people their equipment and are very helpful.
It has helped me settle out one point for sure, as I know I don't want to have a future plane in charter. I have done that with big boats before and it just isn't worth it.
Thanks all. There have been several changes since the first M600 (2016) was certified and one big change was serial #81 has the G3000NG which is still the latest version and is capable of installation of the new GWX8000 radar as well as other updates
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