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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 08:09 
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No one has mentioned hondajets. $5MM twin 6 seater jet. Bet you can get a new one for sub $4MM. Want one today? No problem. Ouch. I think the number of buyers that can spend $2.5MM are signifactly larger than the ones that can spend $5MM on new. Large enough difference to keep cirrus backlog healthy? We’ll see. One thing I’m certain of as a salesman, I’d rather be selling a 2.5MM 6 seat jet than a $5MM 6 seat jet. Single or twin..

My hangar tenant’s cirrus jet arrives in March. Can’t wait to see it and get a ride.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 09:47 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think this thread is more about the environment of jet airplane functionality. Bleed air is your friend but how much of it can be scavenged to meet environmental needs. Lose one (if you have two) then how quickly can you get to breathable altitudes?

So the SF50 is the first pressurized, single engine airplane ever built?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 09:48 
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Username Protected wrote:
No one has mentioned hondajets. $5MM twin 6 seater jet. Bet you can get a new one for sub $4MM. Want one today? No problem. Ouch. I think the number of buyers that can spend $2.5MM are signifactly larger than the ones that can spend $5MM on new. Large enough difference to keep cirrus backlog healthy? We’ll see. One thing I’m certain of as a salesman, I’d rather be selling a 2.5MM 6 seat jet than a $5MM 6 seat jet. Single or twin..

My hangar tenant’s cirrus jet arrives in March. Can’t wait to see it and get a ride.

So true. Honda was 20 years late with their jet.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 10:15 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think this thread is more about the environment of jet airplane functionality. Bleed air is your friend but how much of it can be scavenged to meet environmental needs. Lose one (if you have two) then how quickly can you get to breathable altitudes?

So the SF50 is the first pressurized, single engine airplane ever built?

Single engine jet is where I was going. I’ve never been real impressed with any piston single with a pressurized cabin. I really wish there was a way to make an affordable jet airplane but everything in aviation is a trade off. The early Challengers were considered lame due to their inability to get into the higher flight levels.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 10:20 
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Username Protected wrote:
Single engine jet is where I was going. I’ve never been real impressed with any piston single with a pressurized cabin. I really wish there was a way to make an affordable jet airplane but everything in aviation is a trade off. The early Challengers were considered lame due to their inability to get into the higher flight levels.

I didn't say anything about "piston". Pilatus, TBM, Merdien......

The SF50 is the "affordable" option.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 10:39 
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100 on the registry, probably a few foreign registrations.......

Attachment:
E3C4BFBB-FB98-47C7-841D-04DCE381EB6B.png


Well done Cirrus.

Peace,
Don


Pretty sure there are a couple of BTers in that list. They just dont want to wade into this trainwreck of a thread.


Ha! I know three of them.
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 12:12 
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Username Protected wrote:
No one has mentioned hondajets. $5MM twin 6 seater jet. Bet you can get a new one for sub $4MM. Want one today? No problem. Ouch. I think the number of buyers that can spend $2.5MM are signifactly larger than the ones that can spend $5MM on new. Large enough difference to keep cirrus backlog healthy? We’ll see. One thing I’m certain of as a salesman, I’d rather be selling a 2.5MM 6 seat jet than a $5MM 6 seat jet. Single or twin..

My hangar tenant’s cirrus jet arrives in March. Can’t wait to see it and get a ride.

So true. Honda was 20 years late with their jet.


But it was engineered to perfection -
"three decades in the making at an estimated cost of $1.5 billion to $2 billion"
https://www.forbes.com/sites/joannmulle ... 51b1339019

Optimistically they only need to sell about 1500-2000 of them to break even. They are almost 1/10 of the way there.

It does help make the case for selling a not quite perfect product to a dedicated fan base and developing it as you make deliveries.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 12:32 
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Username Protected wrote:
Single engine jet is where I was going. I’ve never been real impressed with any piston single with a pressurized cabin. I really wish there was a way to make an affordable jet airplane but everything in aviation is a trade off. The early Challengers were considered lame due to their inability to get into the higher flight levels.

I didn't say anything about "piston". Pilatus, TBM, Merdien......

The SF50 is the "affordable" option.

Ok, let’s say pure jet vs prop.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 13:39 
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Username Protected wrote:
Ok, let’s say pure jet vs prop.

You mean "ducted turbofan" vs. "non-ducted turbofan"

Besides, you original comment was about pressurization from bleed air. That has nothing to do with "pure jet" (whatever that is) vs. "prop".


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 14:34 
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I dont mind insults. It tells me the other side has run out of arguments.

Agreed.

When the person is the issue instead of the argument, they speaker is out of ammo.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 14:51 
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Username Protected wrote:
But it was engineered to perfection -
"three decades in the making at an estimated cost of $1.5 billion to $2 billion"

Optimistically they only need to sell about 1500-2000 of them to break even. They are almost 1/10 of the way there.

Honda will likely never make a profit on the HA-420. But I suspect they knew that going in and the goal was to establish themselves in the market more than anything else. They built their own engine, which is a major part of the effort here, and hopefully that develops into more uses than just the HA-420. I'd love to see it offered as a retrofit to open up a choice other than PWC and Williams, but even making it available to other OEMs would be a good start.

Quote:
It does help make the case for selling a not quite perfect product to a dedicated fan base and developing it as you make deliveries.

It helps if you are an international conglomerate with $140B in sales per year. The HA-420 program is about 0.1% of Honda's revenue over the development program time frame, so basically a rounding error. The Japanese think long term and are fanatical about supporting their products. They could end up being a major player in business aircraft over time.

Honda uses the HA-420 for PR purposes as well. It was on a billboard at Disneyland, and in the Rose Parade when I was in LA this past holiday season.

The HA-420 is relatively conventional. The two major differences are the new engine and the wing pylons. Remains to be seen if those features prove out to be compelling. My guess is the engine might, the wing pylon probably not.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 15:15 
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Username Protected wrote:
Ok, let’s say pure jet vs prop.

You mean "ducted turbofan" vs. "non-ducted turbofan"

Besides, you original comment was about pressurization from bleed air. That has nothing to do with "pure jet" (whatever that is) vs. "prop".

+1 'Pure jets' were obsolete a long time ago.
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 15:39 
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Joined: 12/10/07
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Username Protected wrote:
Agreed.

When the person is the issue instead of the argument, they speaker is out of ammo.

Mike C.


Right. And when you say "you are delusional", you speak about the person, not the issue.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 16:18 
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Joined: 06/08/12
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Company: Mayo Clinic
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Username Protected wrote:
But it was engineered to perfection -
"three decades in the making at an estimated cost of $1.5 billion to $2 billion"

Optimistically they only need to sell about 1500-2000 of them to break even. They are almost 1/10 of the way there.

Honda will likely never make a profit on the HA-420. But I suspect they knew that going in and the goal was to establish themselves in the market more than anything else. They built their own engine, which is a major part of the effort here, and hopefully that develops into more uses than just the HA-420. I'd love to see it offered as a retrofit to open up a choice other than PWC and Williams, but even making it available to other OEMs would be a good start.

Quote:
It does help make the case for selling a not quite perfect product to a dedicated fan base and developing it as you make deliveries.

It helps if you are an international conglomerate with $140B in sales per year. The HA-420 program is about 0.1% of Honda's revenue over the development program time frame, so basically a rounding error. The Japanese think long term and are fanatical about supporting their products. They could end up being a major player in business aircraft over time.

Honda uses the HA-420 for PR purposes as well. It was on a billboard at Disneyland, and in the Rose Parade when I was in LA this past holiday season.

The HA-420 is relatively conventional. The two major differences are the new engine and the wing pylons. Remains to be seen if those features prove out to be compelling. My guess is the engine might, the wing pylon probably not.

Mike C.

Well what do you know. I agree with Mike on this.
My first exposure to Japanese long term thinking was a business meeting in Tokyo with Matsushita. We were there to consider purchasing electric motors from them.
They showed us their 25 year (25) product plan.
We kinda looked at each other. Kinda proud of our seven year one....
We did buy their motors.
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 26 Jan 2019, 20:54 
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Username Protected wrote:
Honda will likely never make a profit on the HA-420. But I suspect they knew that going in and the goal was to establish themselves in the market more than anything else.
Mike C.


Has to be one of the most expensive ways in history (although I am sure there are enough other examples) to say "I have a jet".

Honda does have great engineering. My $400 College Honda XR250 would not die.
I also understand and agree with the long term view. It would be nice to see more of that. Fortunately, for Hondajet they have the support of an international conglomerate to feed what would be an unsustainable business on its own. It wouldn't work out so well if they were just trying to sell airplanes.

I’m glad someone is making these investments, but when I look at all the money that can be made with airplanes I understand why the word delusional might come up from time to time.

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