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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 17:10 
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The other flights diverted off that route because of the weather that they were painting.

The incompetence comes into play when AF447 was relying on a radar that was not properly adjusted.

When the radar was finally set properly they made a too small of a deviation for weather. Possibly because they could not contact somebody for permission.

The HF was bad because of the weather and they had not been able to log on.

As long as they stayed within 10 miles of course they were legal without ATC approval.

To deviate beyond that distance requires a change in altitude by 300ft. Did they know that procedure?

That's what they should have done to avoid the storm and the icing.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 17:25 
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Probably all TP's should require a type rating. Just look at the accident rates in most TP's compared to what it should be with all that capability and reliability that they offer.

I'd love to look at this data. Where is it?


Well there are no data directly comparing type rating to no type rating in the same airframe, but there are some suggestive data From Breiling, here are the SETP data. Not sure if you are OK with those numbers, but the fatal rates of the TBM and Meridian are worse than many single pistons. I do believe that the P46T numbers that Breiling has are higher than actual from data collected by MMOPA, but even the MMOPA data is too high for such a capable plane. For one, Piper has sold serial #613 in the Meridian line, so they seem to be missing some airframes, likely capturing all the fatals, but not capturing all the non fatal hours flown.

Here are the twin Beech numbers. Below the line requires a type rating, above doesn't. The 350 is not that substantially different than a 200, but does require a type rating.

Attachment:
SETP.jpg


Attachment:
Type rating.jpg


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 18:01 
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I think I agree with the thought process here... just not the conclusion.

I do not believe having a type rating makes one a better pilot or lessens the chance of a fatal crash. I do believe proper training is a factor. You could argue that being able to obtain the type rating proves proper training, but we all know that it really doesn't.

I have seen guys who were typed that were dangerous, their training wasn't what it should have been... but they did pass the ride. I have also flown with guys who took their training very serious even though they do not need to be typed in their aircraft.

Proper training is the key, and I don't think you can "require" it... you either want to be a professional pilot who is an expert in a particular machine... or you don't.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 18:25 
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Three times safer isn't substantial?

Username Protected wrote:
...The 350 is not that substantially different than a 200, but does require a type rating.
...


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 18:33 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think I agree with the thought process here... just not the conclusion.

I do not believe having a type rating makes one a better pilot or lessens the chance of a fatal crash. I do believe proper training is a factor. You could argue that being able to obtain the type rating proves proper training, but we all know that it really doesn't.

I have seen guys who were typed that were dangerous, their training wasn't what it should have been... but they did pass the ride. I have also flown with guys who took their training very serious even though they do not need to be typed in their aircraft.

Proper training is the key, and I don't think you can "require" it... you either want to be a professional pilot who is an expert in a particular machine... or you don't.


I think the numbers disagree. And I would think your more professional pilots are typed, if only by necessity.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 18:39 
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It seems the SETP chart just covers 2012 while the King Air chart covers cumulative flight hours over many years.

Am I reading it wrong?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 19:44 
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Username Protected wrote:
...The 350 is not that substantially different than a 200, but does require a type rating.
...

The 350 and 200 PLANES aren't substantially different from an operational stand point is what he was saying.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 20:47 
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Username Protected wrote:
It seems the SETP chart just covers 2012 while the King Air chart covers cumulative flight hours over many years.

Am I reading it wrong?


Those are cumulative numbers for the entire fleets. The question is how does one get those numbers, since they are not reliably recorded anywhere for most aircraft.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 20:49 
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Username Protected wrote:
...The 350 is not that substantially different than a 200, but does require a type rating.
...


Someone else clarified my unclear post, but my point was that the 200 and 350 are a lot more alike than they are different from an airframe and mission standpoint, but the one that requires a type rating has at least a 3 times better safety record.
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 21:00 
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Charles,

My apologies... I misinterpreted your point. Yes, the 200 and 350 are similar, but training requirement (at least with US FAA) and safety records are different.

Username Protected wrote:
...The 350 is not that substantially different than a 200, but does require a type rating.
...


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 21:10 
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Jason,

I think the fleet size is as of 2012 and that hours flown is cumulative over the life of the model. I really didn't have a good perspective of this until just this morning when I read an article about the TBM (according to a TBM publication dated May 2016):

Total TBM fleet : 767
Total fleet time : 1,300,933

It also said the TBM fleet was flying 120,000 hours per year.

Hopefully that provides some perspective?

Matt

Username Protected wrote:
It seems the SETP chart just covers 2012 while the King Air chart covers cumulative flight hours over many years.

Am I reading it wrong?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 02 May 2016, 23:49 
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Proper training is the key, and I don't think you can "require" it... you either want to be a professional pilot who is an expert in a particular machine... or you don't.

If you don't want to be a pro, you avoid aircraft that require typing. Self selection is going on.

If you get typed, you are improved.

There are bad typed pilots, of course, but not the norm, and we write a lot about them in CrashTalk.

I've seen the self selection process first hand. A good number of MU2 owners sold when the SFAR came about, not wanting to be subjecting to the training. Somewhat surprisingly, a good number of new owners showed up with enthusiasm about the training.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 03 May 2016, 06:23 
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Username Protected wrote:

Someone else clarified my unclear post, but my point was that the 200 and 350 are a lot more alike than they are different from an airframe and mission standpoint, but the one that requires a type rating has at least a 3 times better safety record.

It has 1/4th the cumulative hours of the 200 too. Like you said..... Where'd they get that info?

I don't have anyone asking me how many hours are on my airplane. I get all me service done at the dealership and there's a chance the dealer sends the info back to the manufacturer but a lot of planes don't get serviced at the dealer.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 03 May 2016, 06:28 
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A good number of MU2 owners sold when the SFAR came about, not wanting to be subjecting to the training. Somewhat surprisingly, a good number of new owners showed up with enthusiasm about the training.

Mike C.

They sold because they knew their airplane was about to take a dump and they'd never get rid of it long term.

How many MU2's flights are there every day? 2 or 3? Compare that to hundreds of SR22 flights a day. There's no comparison.

Flying an airplane that's trying to kill you doesn't make you a better pilot. Extra training to overcome a design flaw doesn't make you a better pilot.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 03 May 2016, 06:47 
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Username Protected wrote:

Someone else clarified my unclear post, but my point was that the 200 and 350 are a lot more alike than they are different from an airframe and mission standpoint, but the one that requires a type rating has at least a 3 times better safety record.

It has 1/4th the cumulative hours of the 200 too. Like you said..... Where'd they get that info?

I don't have anyone asking me how many hours are on my airplane. I get all me service done at the dealership and there's a chance the dealer sends the info back to the manufacturer but a lot of planes don't get serviced at the dealer.


Jason,

I would think that all those numbers are pretty accurate…maybe not to the last digit..

but think of it this way, all those turbine powered airplanes, no matter who maintains them, they need a hot section at times, need an engine overhaul, props are overhauled..so the aircraft manufacturer, but naturally also the engine manufacturers know pretty well at what airframe times and/or cycles certain parts for the airplane, engine or other components or SB kits were bought..when and why..

and they keep very good track of that, and all that goes into pretty sophisticated data bases..

have to, because the OEMs have to get feed back, not the least, to keep their production certificates intact in front of the authorities..it is required..

so, I'd assume those numbers are pretty watertight..

Gerd

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