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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 14:27 
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Username Protected wrote:
Name one that's the same price.

The twin Cirrus could have built instead of the SF50.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 15:35 
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They have all that in the SF50. The 375 knots and FL410 occur during the easy part, cruise. All the other stuff, working in busty terminal airspace for example, is the same. The faster airplane is NOT going faster at the same altitudes, only up high.

Well, being a slow jet, I'd expect SF50 to have a more forgiving wing and better flying characteristics for slow maneuvering in the pattern - something Cirrus pilots seem to need help with. But more importantly, we are talking about PERCEPTION here, not so much the reality. SF50 has that Goldilocks effect - not too big, not too small, not too slow, not too fast - just right.

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The profile of these SF50 buyers put forth by the proponents seems strange to me. They are intimidated by a second power lever, and apparently any cruise speed over 300 knots, but yet are going to fly predominately between TEB and PDK, two very busy terminal areas crowded with lots of big iron GA, and have no problem at all getting a type rating. What a weird mix.

You are confusing your posters here - I never said anything about TEB to PDK (even though SF50 would handle that just fine), this was JC's argument. I was saying SF50 is a great plane for TEB to ACK.

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Because that is all that they could do once they made it a single. They are trying to characterize the main defect in the airplane as a feature. They are trying to turn "limited" into "simple" and it really isn't.


They made the announcement about "low and slow" back in 2006, before they even started building anything. So it certainly sounds like a deliberate decision rather than putting on a good face.

You may have a good argument that in reality it isn't all that much simpler, but again - perception is what matters when you are trying to make a sale. ;)


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 16:20 
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I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 16:46 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:


Sold my company. Now working for someone else; so I only have a single task (to launch a new ecommerce product). So while I wait for the build process to run, I check BT, FB, Lightroom Forums... :)

Tim (who did not make it to the turbine level, but sold out anyway)


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 16:47 
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I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:


It's a great way to postpone working on this spreadsheet I've been dreading all day. :lol:


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 16:52 
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I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:


It's a great way to postpone working on this spreadsheet I've been dreading all day. :lol:


Ha! I stepped away from that same spreadsheet Yuri to post this myself. :D
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 17:01 
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Username Protected wrote:
Name one that's the same price.

The twin Cirrus could have built instead of the SF50.

Mike C.


We already have the Eclipse.

Eclipse was building a single jet til the economy tanked.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 17:04 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:

We're all on BT because all our friends are at work. HA. :D


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 17:15 
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Williams has to make back all of its development cost and ongoing support costs for the FJ33 on only the 500 SF50s that will sell.
Isn't this the sunk cost fallacy? Isn't it instead true that Williams would price an already developed engine wherever they would make the most money back? If amortizing all of their sunk costs into the engine pricing loses the design win customer, then they will be even worse off. It wouldn't surprise me if Williams were working hard to keep that design win.

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PWC already has 540 PW610Fs in the field, already done the development.
Have all their development costs been paid back? 540 engines is only 270 engine pairs.

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The amortized cost of development and support would be spread over many more engines, lowering the cost.
Per engine, yes, but not per airplane customer. The twin customer pays those costs twice, so the supposed "twin" discount isn't real.

Quote:
Not using a new engine is cheaper.
Do you think the FJ33 engine was designed only for Cirrus, or did Cirrus competitively shop for a supplier that was willing to help them become an engine customer?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 19:08 
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It will be simpler not because it's a single, but because it flies lower and slower than your typical jet. SR22T can go up to 25,000 ft and will do 213 kts there, with stall speed 60 kts. SF50 will go to 28,000 ft and 300 kts, with 67 kts stall. It's just a small incremental change.

Which subject will you not need to train for? Pressurization (high altitude sign off required), and all its attendant failures? Speed? Deice/anti-ice? Weather decision making? Systems, like landing gear, pressurization, engine, avionics/autopilot, environmental, electrical? These are all systems that the airplane will have, so do you think the training will be significantly less than any other airplane operating in that environment with those systems?

Slow relative to its peers doesn't mean it really changes the complexity of training that will be required. All the topics are basically still the same.

I've never heard of a high altitude sign off. Maybe there is for a plane that flies in RVSM but not for FL280 and below.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 19:30 
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Username Protected wrote:
I've never heard of a high altitude sign off. Maybe there is for a plane that flies in RVSM but not for FL280 and below.

RVSM is a whole 'nother (much harrier) animal.

See FAR 61.31(g).

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 20:25 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:

Same way you find time to read it.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 20:29 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:


Hire someone to do the spreadsheets for you...

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 20:32 
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Username Protected wrote:
Eclipse was building a single jet til the economy tanked.

And selling it for the same price as the SF50!

Most owners got theirs for around $1.4M.

That killed Eclipse. The faster they made them, the more money they lost.

Almost all of the SF50 depositors are at the $1.4M price point, too, at least into the high 300s delivery position as advertised on controller.com.

Remains to be seen if Cirrus can survive that. There is likely zero profit, perhaps a loss, on each SF-50 at that price, hence the price today of over $2M.

Cirrus can build a twin cheaper than Eclipse can build a twin. Cirrus at least knows airframe manufacturing, and Eclipse didn't have a clue about that. Also, vendors will extend better terms to an established player than a startup. Cirrus can probably buy PW610Fs for much less than Eclipse paid. The engine vendors make so much money on the engine programs and maintenance after the sale that they can sell engines at cost to OEMs. That's long term revenue that is far more stable than new aircraft sales.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 28 Jan 2016, 20:42 
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Username Protected wrote:
I think everyone's debating the wrong question. What I want to know is how you guys running your own companies, obviously successfully as you're flying turbines and jets, are finding the time to continuously engage on such mindless, pointless discussions? :shrug:

Same way you find time to read it.

Mike C.


Hardly. Perusing BT and firing off a quick post here and there while scoffing down a sandwich at lunch is different from the velocity of message you and others post. If I spent as much time on BT during the day as some, I'd need a timesheet code to charge my time to.
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Last edited on 28 Jan 2016, 20:44, edited 1 time in total.

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