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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 10:55 
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Username Protected wrote:
Aerodynamics allways works.

I am carefully looking at my children trying to decide which one I am going to sell for one of these ;-)


How many children do you have Florian? You might be able to get the premium model. :shrug:

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 11:03 
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Username Protected wrote:
Aerodynamics allways works.

I am carefully looking at my children trying to decide which one I am going to sell for one of these ;-)


How many children do you have Florian? You might be able to get the premium model. :shrug:


Not nearly enough for something like this, I also really like them both
:-) . I guess a 700C1 will have to do one of these days.

Socata and Cirrus demonstrate that you can innovate within a given airframe. Someone mentioned that there would be a big announcement from Socata this week, they weren't lying.

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 11:13 
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I've been waiting for this announcement for awhile now... I thought I had it bad for TBMs already. This makes it even worse. I really think they have a winner here. Per mile efficiency in these birds is really quite exceptional and very difficult to beat.

I too feel strongly about losing $$ in depreciation. Even with some potential tax benefits, I about vomit when I see guys losing $250-$500k / yr in depreciation on their light jets. I couldn't look myself in the mirror knowing I was flushing $20-40K PER MONTH down the toilet in depreciation expenses. I work too hard for my $$ to do something like that. Perhaps when I work less hard for my $$ it won't bother me as badly...

However, when you look at used TBMs and used PC12's, the market clearly favors them and they are holding their value VERY well compared Mustangs, CJ's, etc. Even still, $3.71M (which likely means closer to $4M equipped) for a SETP is a big pill to swallow. Perhaps the C2's will come down in price after enough 850's and 900's hit the used market. :thumbup:

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 11:24 
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Perhaps the C2's will come down in price after enough 850's and 900's hit the used market. :thumbup:


Nothing seems to affect the price of C2s :sad: . I believe they carry more than the 850 and use less fuel to do it (at a slightly lower speed).

I wonder how the useful load/range profile will come out in the 900. For example they added the pilot door as standard (30-50lb) and winglets usually mean weight. They may save a couple of pounds on the composite prop (what did they have before, a 4 blade metal ?).


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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 11:25 
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Here's an interesting comparison of depreciation of TBM850 to Mustangs from Vref that was shared by a fellow pilot. It's obvious the market favors the TBM850 over the Mustangs. I don't have data on the PC12 but my guess is the data is even better:

Image

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 11:28 
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Username Protected wrote:
Here's an interesting comparison of depreciation of TBM850 to Mustangs from Vref. Clearly the market favors TBM850 over the Mustangs. I don't have data on the PC12 but my guess is the data is even better:

Image

And there is my point. The first guy takes a 15% whack in a year. The next guy can own for 5 years and only lose a few percent vs. new. This is almost universal unless the supply is limited. Nothing new here....

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 11:45 
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Say you had a few million. This vs an Eclipse. What would you choose? I know the eclipse is less. Impressive airplane. Pilatus still wins in the utility category.

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 11:52 
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Say you had a few million. This vs an Eclipse. What would you choose? I know the eclipse is less. Impressive airplane. Pilatus still wins in the utility category.


If I had that much money, I would pick the Eclipse. Consider it a midlife crisis.

Tim


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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 12:00 
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Say you had a few million. This vs an Eclipse.


The Eclipse is in a different bracket as all of them are used at this time.

2mil to spend or available in cheap money, I would have a TBM700-C2.


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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 12:06 
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Say you had a few million. This vs an Eclipse. What would you choose? I know the eclipse is less. Impressive airplane. Pilatus still wins in the utility category.


That is a very screwy program with about as hazy a future as anything has had in aviation. When you consider the support, training, resale and overall ownership experience that Cessna offers, I would be much more inclined to compare to the Mustang or M2.

As it turns out, the Mustang direct cost per mile is only ~1.5X that of the TBM700 and ~1.4X compared to TBM850. It's not as bad as you'd think. You'd have to consider the mission in order to answer that question but it would be a tough call...

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 12:25 
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I love it. what's not to love about it? Faster and more efficient at what it's predecessor does. That is one of the marks of innovation and progress.


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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 12:53 
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Great stuff! I was looking into a dry lease on a Mustang. Now that I've seen all of this, I feel more like I do now than I ever did (g).

Best,

Dave

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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 13:09 
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The TBM 900 looks awesome, they will sell as much as they can produce.

I will be in FL next week for the US launch.
The TBM 850 had about 850 ibs useful load with full fuel and I heard the 900 will be about the same. The 5 blade composite prop is actually 14-15 ibs heavier but then they added a new carbon fiber cowling so its probably a wash.

I heard they have 5 airplane ready to deliver and 4 will do the crossing together and be in FL next week.

Wow these winglets are sexy as hell, makes me want to work harder.


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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 13:19 
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Joined: 03/15/08
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Username Protected wrote:
Aerodynamics allways works.

I am carefully looking at my children trying to decide which one I am going to sell for one of these ;-)


How many children do you have Florian? You might be able to get the premium model. :shrug:



Hey, wait!!!!!!! Count me in. I could get two!
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 Post subject: Re: TBM 900
PostPosted: 12 Mar 2014, 13:33 
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Username Protected wrote:
Perhaps the C2's will come down in price after enough 850's and 900's hit the used market. :thumbup:


Nothing seems to affect the price of C2s :sad: . I believe they carry more than the 850 and use less fuel to do it (at a slightly lower speed).

You beat me to it. My friend who bought a C2 used for about 1.7 MM could get out of it pretty whole I bet. Wonderful airplane (I have 62.4 hrs. PIC as of yesterday :D ) just under 800 lbs. payload and 296 kts TAS, what's not to like about that? And the 900 even better. They WILL sell. :thumbup:

Last edited on 12 Mar 2014, 13:35, edited 1 time in total.

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