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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 26 Feb 2014, 14:40 
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Username Protected wrote:
"Very cool. Do you know what he sees in real world numbers? Speed, fuel flow and range?"

I think he now uses 310 knots, 58 gal/hr. I know he used to use 53 gal/hr at about the same speed. I think he hauls 290 gal, but that might be weak information.


That's actually way better than I was being told. I was hearing about 315 @ 66


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 26 Feb 2014, 16:02 
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The thing that I find most surprising is that with a piston G36 and a turboprop flying the same number of NM a year, you will do 4.2 overhauls on the piston for every 1 on a tp, almost no matter how many NM you fly a year.


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 26 Feb 2014, 20:31 
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Gerry, I just spoke to him(actually, it was more of listening to an annoying whine about the weather in Wisconsin). He generally plans 310 knots at 56.5 gal/hr. When he cranked it to 66 gal/hr it was at 329 knots- with a tailwind that put him in the 500 mph+ club.

Excepting temperature limits, he doesn't believe 5% speed is worth 20% fuel. Of course, I didn't remind him that he didn't apply this logic when he sold the A36 for the
Epic...and that was one fine A36. He did, however, make spark plug and piston proclamations, frequently.


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 26 Feb 2014, 21:06 
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Username Protected wrote:
Gerry, I just spoke to him(actually, it was more of listening to an annoying whine about the weather in Wisconsin). He generally plans 310 knots at 56.5 gal/hr. When he cranked it to 66 gal/hr it was at 329 knots- with a tailwind that put him in the 500 mph+ club.

Excepting temperature limits, he doesn't believe 5% speed is worth 20% fuel. Of course, I didn't remind him that he didn't apply this logic when he sold the A36 for the
Epic...and that was one fine A36. He did, however, make spark plug and piston proclamations, frequently.


If you could please ask him what his typical annual would cost. I've been hearing from several sources that experimental is way cheaper for annuals and in fact a few different sources are claiming $2,000 annuals on Evolutions.

Also to touch on the spreadsheet I have been working on, I was told that a lot of experimental people self insure. They can get $1-$2m smooth for liability for a cost of $1-2,000 respectively. But if they were to pay $21,000/year for full coverage, that in only 3 years they have already paid for a gear up landing. Some people also pay for not in motion insurance in case something happens in the hangar. So insurance set to $3,000, annuals set to $3,000 then suddenly you have almost identical costs of operation per year.


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 27 Feb 2014, 10:52 
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The spread sheet may better be served by adding the costs of a true 6 seat aircraft.

I noted that you only calculated 4 seats which is of course reasonable but when we are comparing to a true 6 seat to an true 4 seat, occasional 6, the total cost difference scares people.

Per mile, you are already cheaper than a G36, and just by some quick mental math, it looks like your vision is MUCH cheaper than a comparable true 6 seat aircraft.


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 27 Feb 2014, 14:38 
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Username Protected wrote:
The spread sheet may better be served by adding the costs of a true 6 seat aircraft.

I noted that you only calculated 4 seats which is of course reasonable but when we are comparing to a true 6 seat to an true 4 seat, occasional 6, the total cost difference scares people.

Per mile, you are already cheaper than a G36, and just by some quick mental math, it looks like your vision is MUCH cheaper than a comparable true 6 seat aircraft.


Yes, I calculated 4 seats by accident, it was supposed to be for 6. That was one of the corrections made in a later revision of the spreadsheet.

The main reason why I'm comparing to a G36 is because we are targeting the new G36 and SR22-SR22T buyers. Those airplanes new are not very far off in price from the proposed experimental.


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 27 Feb 2014, 15:02 
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Username Protected wrote:
The spread sheet may better be served by adding the costs of a true 6 seat aircraft.

I noted that you only calculated 4 seats which is of course reasonable but when we are comparing to a true 6 seat to an true 4 seat, occasional 6, the total cost difference scares people.

Per mile, you are already cheaper than a G36, and just by some quick mental math, it looks like your vision is MUCH cheaper than a comparable true 6 seat aircraft.


Yes, I calculated 4 seats by accident, it was supposed to be for 6. That was one of the corrections made in a later revision of the spreadsheet.

The main reason why I'm comparing to a G36 is because we are targeting the new G36 and SR22-SR22T buyers. Those airplanes new are not very far off in price from the proposed experimental.



Ahh my mistake! I must have downloaded the older one by accident.

To further my question, and to show I know very little about the G36 line, can a G36 carry 6 people and enough fuel for an 850NM trip?

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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 27 Feb 2014, 20:43 
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Username Protected wrote:
Yes, I calculated 4 seats by accident, it was supposed to be for 6. That was one of the corrections made in a later revision of the spreadsheet.

The main reason why I'm comparing to a G36 is because we are targeting the new G36 and SR22-SR22T buyers. Those airplanes new are not very far off in price from the proposed experimental.



Ahh my mistake! I must have downloaded the older one by accident.

To further my question, and to show I know very little about the G36 line, can a G36 carry 6 people and enough fuel for an 850NM trip?


No it cannot. That is why I made those numbers in the pinkish red editable, allowing someone to put in their mission. It isn't going to be 100% accurate, but it should give you an idea.

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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 28 Feb 2014, 10:58 
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Updated the spreadsheet one more time. Some changes were made for a few reasons. The insurance cost was changed and had better/updated numbers based on hull value of each plane. Also, I have confirmation from about 4 sources that a typical annual on experimental airplanes are very cheap. $3k seems to be a pretty fair number.

I also added tabs comparing an SR22T to the experimental also. I think people will find the numbers to be quite interesting.

Also, I reduced the mission range to 700 nm. Obviously people could enter whatever they would like, however I figured keeping it closer to the actual range of the G36 and SR22T would make for a better comparison.

Attachment:
Experimental vs G36-SR22T.xls


Oh, also the experimental overhaul, if someone wanted to, could be pushed out to 6,000 or even 8,000 hours. Apparently people do this all of the time on what is called a more program through either Pratt or other companies that work with Pratt. That drastically changes the dynamic of costs between the planes.


Please login or Register for a free account via the link in the red bar above to download files.


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 28 Feb 2014, 11:29 
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More program is not available in SETP, altough in homebuilt you can do what you want.

I very doubt you can design and build a SETP for under $1M. I hope you do.

Marc

_________________
Former Baron 58 owner.
Pistons engines are for tractors.

Marc Bourdon


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 28 Feb 2014, 11:52 
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Username Protected wrote:
More program is not available in SETP, altough in homebuilt you can do what you want.

I very doubt you can design and build a SETP for under $1M. I hope you do.

Marc


Interesting, because I have been hearing about people using the More program on PC-12 and TBM's.

The airplane will be slightly over $1m if the customer buys new everything. If they are willing to accept a used PT6 with a fresh hot section, they can very easily get in the game for under $1m.


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 28 Feb 2014, 11:53 
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Username Protected wrote:
Gerry,

The Lancair Evolution can carry four people with fuel fuel and plenty of baggage. The main reason people buy a six person plane is to make the plane useful with four people and bags.

You would have an even smaller market then the Evolution. If you really want to go this route, you can do it. But do it a lot cheaper. Here is the fundamental issue with composites.
Fiberglass is about $7 bucks a yard.
Carbon Fiber is around $90 bucks a yard.

Based on discussions with people at Lancair and Velocity the Carbon Fiber saves between 10-20% weight over fiberglass. For a commercial jet flying a thousand hours a year this weight savings can be huge in terms of efficiency. For a home builder flying 50-100 a year the weight savings versus cost savings will take a couple of centuries for payback.

You would be much more likely to be successful by going brute force with fiberglass making the plane heavier and just having larger airfoils with a bigger engine.

And if the price is right, I might be interested (your proposed price is not right). :D

Tim


Is that the main reason velocity kits are less than a lancair?


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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 28 Feb 2014, 12:10 
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Username Protected wrote:
Gerry,

The Lancair Evolution can carry four people with fuel fuel and plenty of baggage. The main reason people buy a six person plane is to make the plane useful with four people and bags.

You would have an even smaller market then the Evolution. If you really want to go this route, you can do it. But do it a lot cheaper. Here is the fundamental issue with composites.
Fiberglass is about $7 bucks a yard.
Carbon Fiber is around $90 bucks a yard.

Based on discussions with people at Lancair and Velocity the Carbon Fiber saves between 10-20% weight over fiberglass. For a commercial jet flying a thousand hours a year this weight savings can be huge in terms of efficiency. For a home builder flying 50-100 a year the weight savings versus cost savings will take a couple of centuries for payback.

You would be much more likely to be successful by going brute force with fiberglass making the plane heavier and just having larger airfoils with a bigger engine.

And if the price is right, I might be interested (your proposed price is not right). :D

Tim


Is that the main reason velocity kits are less than a lancair?


That would be my guess as a major contributing factor.

Tim

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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 28 Feb 2014, 12:42 
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Username Protected wrote:
Gerry,

The Lancair Evolution can carry four people with fuel fuel and plenty of baggage. The main reason people buy a six person plane is to make the plane useful with four people and bags.

You would have an even smaller market then the Evolution. If you really want to go this route, you can do it. But do it a lot cheaper. Here is the fundamental issue with composites.
Fiberglass is about $7 bucks a yard.
Carbon Fiber is around $90 bucks a yard.

Based on discussions with people at Lancair and Velocity the Carbon Fiber saves between 10-20% weight over fiberglass. For a commercial jet flying a thousand hours a year this weight savings can be huge in terms of efficiency. For a home builder flying 50-100 a year the weight savings versus cost savings will take a couple of centuries for payback.

You would be much more likely to be successful by going brute force with fiberglass making the plane heavier and just having larger airfoils with a bigger engine.

And if the price is right, I might be interested (your proposed price is not right). :D

Tim


Is that the main reason velocity kits are less than a lancair?


Main reason yes, but remember that you have to use a lot more fiberglass to get the same strength as carbon fiber so the straight out costs of materials is deceiving a bit.

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 Post subject: Re: OT: Experimental
PostPosted: 28 Feb 2014, 13:07 
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Username Protected wrote:
Main reason yes, but remember that you have to use a lot more fiberglass to get the same strength as carbon fiber so the straight out costs of materials is deceiving a bit.


Maybe, you need to talk to a structural engineer and materials guy. I forget the if it was shear, torsion, compression... But in one or more load directions there is fundamentally minimal difference in strength. Whatever direction it was, is a common load in aircraft. It can be designed around, but I do not follow the details.

Tim


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