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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 21 Jan 2018, 20:04 
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Joined: 11/27/12
Posts: 955
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Location: Outer Banks
Aircraft: F33, 421C
Flew a B model for 3 years, now fly a C model for last 2 years. With careful operation and “ if it needs it, do it” knowledgeable mx, it fits my mission profile perfectly. Like everything else, you usually get what you pay for. Good luck :cheers:

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 09:48 
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Joined: 12/29/10
Posts: 2556
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Location: Dallas, TX (KADS & KJWY)
Aircraft: T28B,7GCBC,E90
Username Protected wrote:
Could you fly a jet for the same cost per mile? I would think so at $750/hour.


Per hour? No way.

A legacy citation is going to burn $500/hour just in fuel alone. I could likely operate a Mustang as cheaply per mile as the 421, but you'd have to totally ignore capital costs to make that math work.

I figure I could operate a 441 around $1,000/hr which puts me pretty close to the 421 per mile cost due to the speed delta and that's the way I'm leaning now (but I admit to changing my mind frequently). One of my main missions is Dallas to upstate NY and the range of the 441 makes that possible.

Robert


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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 10:21 
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Joined: 12/03/14
Posts: 19252
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Company: Ciholas, Inc
Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
Username Protected wrote:
Could you fly a jet for the same cost per mile? I would think so at $750/hour.
Per hour? No way.
A legacy citation is going to burn $500/hour just in fuel alone.

Using fuel prices I can get at KADS:

421: 45 GPH, 210 knots, $6.85/gallon = $1.47 per mile.

501 (JT15): 110 GPH, 350 knots, $3.79/gallon = $1.19 per mile.

Substantially more speed and cheaper fuel make up the difference. Don't use list prices for jet fuel, contract fuel makes the pricing much cheaper.

If you get a 501 Stallion (501 with Williams), then:

501 (FJ44): 95 GPH, 380 knots, $3.79/gallon = $0.95 per mile.

You should be able to fly a stock 501 for about $1250/hour. Relative to a 421 at $750/hour, that about the same per mile. Relative to the 421, that is way faster, way nicer, and way safer.

So, yeah, if a 421 is $750/hour, you could be flying a Citation for the same cost per mile.

Quote:
I figure I could operate a 441 around $1,000/hr which puts me pretty close to the 421 per mile cost due to the speed delta and that's the way I'm leaning now (but I admit to changing my mind frequently). One of my main missions is Dallas to upstate NY and the range of the 441 makes that possible.

441 is a very nice airplane. On that trip, say 1300 nm, a 441's range means it will be non stop in any non hurricane headwind. The MU2 will not do that trip reliably due to range. Neither will a stock 501. The Stallion 501 will do it most days, the Eagle II 501 will do all days.

Stallion 501:

Purchase: ~$1M

Hourly costs:
Fuel: $350
Engine program: $310
Everything else: $640
Total: $1250

Example:

https://www.controller.com/listings/air ... tation-isp

Mike C.
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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 11:32 
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Joined: 02/10/12
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Company: Minister of Pith
Location: Florida
Aircraft: Piper PA28/140
Username Protected wrote:

501 (JT15): 110 GPH


Would be nice if that's what it really does. Everything I've seen says ~150 at altitude.

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 11:58 
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Joined: 01/24/10
Posts: 6755
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Location: Concord , CA (KCCR)
Aircraft: 1967 Baron B55
I can’t make the math work for a Jet over my 421C based on trips of 500NM or less and 100 hours per year.

I have 1700 hours on Factory New engines that run perfect. I have never had to cancel a flight for MX or had an AOG situation in that time.

I am replacing my 1700 hour engines with factory engines this spring. My total hourly operating expense is about 550 per hour.

Your total hourly expense will depend on the CONDITION of the plane when you bought it , HOW WELL you maintain it and the number of hours you fly it per year.

If you fly a lot of trips 500 NM or less below 18,000 feet the “turbine” costs will increase.

Below 18,000 you can avoid ATC when it’s convenient.


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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 12:54 
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Joined: 12/29/10
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Location: Dallas, TX (KADS & KJWY)
Aircraft: T28B,7GCBC,E90
Username Protected wrote:
421: 45 GPH, 210 knots, $6.85/gallon = $1.47 per mile.

501 (JT15): 110 GPH, 350 knots, $3.79/gallon = $1.19 per mile.

Substantially more speed and cheaper fuel make up the difference. Don't use list prices for jet fuel, contract fuel makes the pricing much cheaper.


Don't use list prices for AvGas either. I definitely do NOT pay list prices at Addison!

I also think your JT15 numbers are low on burn and high on speed. 145gph and 330 is more like it from what I understand.

Trust me, I've looked at the JT15 501s and they are tempting. However, the 441 - due to the range and payload space - is a better fit for me.

The Sierra converted 501s are also very interesting, but you end up with the Williams engine issue (only one overhauler) and a frankenstein airplane. I am unclear on the status of Sierra and the new company's support for legacy 501 conversions, and that scares me when plunking down $1mm in capital.

No immediate plans to trade up, but it's potentially on the horizon.

Robert


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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 13:32 
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Joined: 12/03/14
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Company: Ciholas, Inc
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Username Protected wrote:
501 (JT15): 110 GPH
Would be nice if that's what it really does. Everything I've seen says ~150 at altitude.

I don't have the manual for the 501, but a 550 (Citation II) at mid cruise weight (12,000 lbs):

FL410, ISA, MCT: 348 KTAS, 800 pph, 119 GPH.

The 501 would be somewhat less, so I used 110 GPH. If the fuel flow scaled to thrust rating, it would be 105 GPH.

To get 150 GPH, 1005 pph, you would have to fly the 550 at FL350, MCT, and then you get 374 KTAS. The 501 would have to be flown in the low 30s to get 150 GPH. Some do operate it that way, but that's usually folks who don't buy the fuel themselves.

Mike C.
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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 13:36 
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Joined: 12/03/14
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Company: Ciholas, Inc
Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
Username Protected wrote:
Don't use list prices for AvGas either. I definitely do NOT pay list prices at Addison!

How do others get that deal and what do you pay?

Quote:
I also think your JT15 numbers are low on burn and high on speed. 145gph and 330 is more like it from what I understand.

550 numbers are better than that, and the 501 has to be lower fuel flow than the 550.

Quote:
The Sierra converted 501s are also very interesting, but you end up with the Williams engine issue (only one overhauler) and a frankenstein airplane.

On the plus side, you pay for the program and your engines are taken care of, unlike fixing a cracked case on a GTSIO-520.

You also get a electronic engine control which makes engine operation easy, safe, and you can always get max performance without worrying about going over the limit.

Quote:
I am unclear on the status of Sierra and the new company's support for legacy 501 conversions, and that scares me when plunking down $1mm in capital.

I don't think there are many unique parts involved, but this is something to research.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 13:40 
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Joined: 12/03/14
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Username Protected wrote:
I can’t make the math work for a Jet over my 421C based on trips of 500NM or less and 100 hours per year.

An SR22 owner could say the same thing over a 421. Your usage and trip lengths just aren't really compelling even for a 421.

In some cases, your missions are well defined and won't change, but in most cases, given a faster, more capable airplane, you tend to use it on longer missions. If this wasn't the case, we'd all be flying 200 nm missions that a Cessna 172 could handle.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 14:36 
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Joined: 01/31/09
Posts: 5233
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Location: Northern NJ
Aircraft: SR22;CJ2+;C510
You can’t just look at cruise fuel burn. First hour fuel burn in a turbojet is always greater then subsequent hours. Descent fuel burn can be greater depending on how far out ATC starts you down.

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 14:48 
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Joined: 02/10/12
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Company: Minister of Pith
Location: Florida
Aircraft: Piper PA28/140
Username Protected wrote:
You can’t just look at cruise fuel burn. First hour fuel burn in a turbojet is always greater then subsequent hours. Descent fuel burn can be greater depending on how far out ATC starts you down.

My understanding is that a JT 501 can expect a block burn of somewhere around 165 GPH, depending, especially on short trips of a couple-few hundred nm.

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 15:23 
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Joined: 01/24/10
Posts: 6755
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Location: Concord , CA (KCCR)
Aircraft: 1967 Baron B55
Username Protected wrote:
I can’t make the math work for a Jet over my 421C based on trips of 500NM or less and 100 hours per year.

An SR22 owner could say the same thing over a 421. Your usage and trip lengths just aren't really compelling even for a 421.

In some cases, your missions are well defined and won't change, but in most cases, given a faster, more capable airplane, you tend to use it on longer missions. If this wasn't the case, we'd all be flying 200 nm missions that a Cessna 172 could handle.

Mike C.


Mike, a SR22 does not carry 8 people and have a 2,315 UL. It also does not have a potty or Pressurized cabin and Radar. The extra engine is nice at night and IFR.

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 21:46 
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Joined: 05/31/13
Posts: 1235
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Company: Docking Drawer
Location: KCCR
Aircraft: C425
Quote:
but in most cases, given a faster, more capable airplane, you tend to use it on longer missions

Truth. In the first year of owning my 425 I flew it about 33% more miles than the highest utilization year for my twin commander. Next month I'm taking the 425 on a 2800nm round trip to Mexico, something I would have never considered in the commander. My per mile cost in the 425 is the same as the twin commander, although some of that is due to the dramatically cheaper (smaller) hangar required for the 425.

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 22:24 
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Joined: 12/17/13
Posts: 6357
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Location: Hollywood, Los Angeles, CA
Aircraft: Turbo Commander 680V
Username Protected wrote:
Truth. In the first year of owning my 425 I flew it about 33% more miles than the highest utilization year for my twin commander. Next month I'm taking the 425 on a 2800nm round trip to Mexico, something I would have never considered in the commander. My per mile cost in the 425 is the same as the twin commander, although some of that is due to the dramatically cheaper (smaller) hangar required for the 425.


What Commander did you have?

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 Post subject: Re: Cessna 421 value?
PostPosted: 22 Jan 2018, 22:27 
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Joined: 05/31/13
Posts: 1235
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Company: Docking Drawer
Location: KCCR
Aircraft: C425
500B with Merlyn TIO540 (320 HP) conversion. Awesome airplane.

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