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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 12:33 
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After flying the Ultra, the idea of a II in an increasing fuel price market is a turn off. This CJ performance is great. A CJ2 straight to 450 sounds like the sweet spot.

As gas goes up, I expect legacy lease rates will continue to fall if they want to get flown.


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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 12:40 
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Username Protected wrote:
747 max cruise altitude - 45,100

Rarely, if ever, seen in domestic US airspace.

Few 747s do passenger duty any more, mostly cargo, where they do shorter legs, less fuel, more cargo weight/space. Check out PANC to see that in action. They are so heavy they never fly at FL450, most of them are in the low 30s.

Mike C.


I've entered US domestic airspace at 450 numerous times arriving from an international point of departure. Now you're an expert on 747's ? PANC is a refueling point, and the 747's come out of there heavy.

We had some contractual obligations to fly non-stop from Asia and other places to the US with relatively light cabin loads.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 12:48 
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Username Protected wrote:
747 max cruise altitude - 45,100

Rarely, if ever, seen in domestic US airspace.

Few 747s do passenger duty any more, mostly cargo, where they do shorter legs, less fuel, more cargo weight/space. Check out PANC to see that in action. They are so heavy they never fly at FL450, most of them are in the low 30s.


Mike C.


Those airplanes step climb as they burn off fuel.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 12:48 
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Username Protected wrote:
I've entered US domestic airspace at 450 numerous times arriving from an international point of departure.

Very hard to find examples of that now. Extremely rare.

Quote:
PANC is a refueling point, and the 747's come out of there heavy.

And will land heavy. The point of PANC refueling is to maximize payload instead of fuel weight. This means no FL450, even at the end of the trip.

Quote:
We had some contractual obligations to fly non-stop from Asia and other places to the US with relatively light cabin loads.

Light cabins would be the only way to operate at FL450 towards the end of the flight.

The odds a Citation gets in the way of a 747 at FL450 is virtually nil.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 13:02 
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Username Protected wrote:
I've entered US domestic airspace at 450 numerous times arriving from an international point of departure.

Very hard to find examples of that now. Extremely rare.

Quote:
PANC is a refueling point, and the 747's come out of there heavy.

And will land heavy. The point of PANC refueling is to maximize payload instead of fuel weight. This means no FL450, even at the end of the trip.

Quote:
We had some contractual obligations to fly non-stop from Asia and other places to the US with relatively light cabin loads.

Light cabins would be the only way to operate at FL450 towards the end of the flight.

The odds a Citation gets in the way of a 747 at FL450 is virtually nil.

Mike C.


Why are the odds of a Citation getting in the way of a 747 at 450 virtually nil? Even at lower altitudes a 747 can't fly as slow as a Citation can fly fast. A 747 at heavy weight at optimum altitude falls out of the sky below about .82 Mach. They definitely have a step, get below that speed and it won't recover without giving up altitude.

Sometimes the payload will bulk out, instead of max out on weight; for example, carrying a half a dozen disassembled Citations on the main cargo deck. :D :)

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 13:08 
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Why are the odds of a Citation getting in the way of a 747 at 450 virtually nil?

Because 747s are not at FL450 hardly ever in US airspace.

I bet you could look at Flightaware for the next week and not find ONE 747 at FL450 in US airspace.

So the odds of conflict are nil.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 13:13 
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Why are the odds of a Citation getting in the way of a 747 at 450 virtually nil?

Because 747s are not at FL450 hardly ever in US airspace.

I bet you could look at Flightaware for the next week and not find ONE 747 at FL450 in US airspace.

So the odds of conflict are nil.

Mike C.


Well, it is easier to pass up the Citations from below. :D

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 13:34 
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While flying corporate we had a Lear 35 and a Citation 501SP. A frequent trip was taking the boss home on Fridays from Houston to Witchita Falls. The Lear did it .9, the Citation 1.1, on the same fuel burn. The advantage of the Citation was getting in and out of short fields. The SP was no advantage because corporate policy didn't allow SP on the Citation.


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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 15:08 
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Winglets help, but not as much as Tamarack has said. They help less and less on planes already reasonably optimized for high altitude flight, like the CJ2+ and CJ3. CJ2 will get some benefit, but if you are expecting 300 nm more range, you will be disappointed, 100 nm would be more reasonable.

I thought the real benefit of the Tamarack system was they are essentially adding a few feet more wing in addition to winglets, and the active system makes that structurally feasible. I could see a longer wing having a significant performance impact.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 16:00 
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The winglets will help a CJ2 get to 450 directly and accelerate faster - this matters most on a long trip when you need to lower fuel burn to get the most range. But a long trip is when you need to carry the most fuel so you aren't likely to be able to get up there directly. I have only flown the CJ for 9 months but I rarely see ISA in the 40's, it is usually ISA +5 or warmer. If it is warmer than ISA+3, the Cj doesn't want to go up until I'm 1200-1500# under gross. You can always make it go up to 450 but then it wont accelerate and you'll just sit there going slow (pushing all that extra air because of your high AOA).

I agree that Tamarack probably won't get you 300NM but I do think it will get you 200-250 when you need it. 250nm gets me almost over one more State before I have to land

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 19:23 
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Username Protected wrote:
I agree that Tamarack probably won't get you 300NM but I do think it will get you 200-250 when you need it.

I'd love to see an objective controlled test which shows that. That is about 15% improvement in range. That is well outside the norm for what winglets can do. 5% is within reason, maybe 8% if the plane was poorly designed to begin with.

I remain highly skeptical.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 22:08 
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Username Protected wrote:
I agree that Tamarack probably won't get you 300NM but I do think it will get you 200-250 when you need it.

I'd love to see an objective controlled test which shows that. That is about 15% improvement in range. That is well outside the norm for what winglets can do. 5% is within reason, maybe 8% if the plane was poorly designed to begin with.

I remain highly skeptical.

Mike C.


Well, it's not only a winglet, is it? It's a bigger wing all rolled into one with a winglet. High aspect wings add a lot of efficiency. Seems within the realm of the possible to get a10-15% more range.
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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 22:37 
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Well, it's not only a winglet, is it? It's a bigger wing all rolled into one with a winglet. High aspect wings add a lot of efficiency.

So you think Cessna didn't know that when designing the 525?

Yeah, they knew, and they figured out the right design point for the wing. That would have been a very basic part of the design. Airfoil shape, wing span, aspect ratio, etc.

You think they would leave 15% range on the table?

No way.

This is why I don't think there is 15% to gain with wing extensions/winglets.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 22:54 
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Username Protected wrote:
You think they would leave 15% range on the table?

No way.

This is why I don't think there is 15% to gain with wing extensions/winglets.

Mike C.


Well on the face of it that seems like a logical point. I mean after all they are Cessna. Right?

Fact is that I never thought GE would build a light bulb that lasted so long and was so miss priced it killed their bulb business.

Never thought Lockheed would build a heavy jet and forget to run an NPV that would have showed it would never make money. Ever.

Never thought Bendix King would piss away the market leader position.

Companies do inexplicably dumb stuff all the time. You might be right but not for the reason above.

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 Post subject: Re: My first 60 hours in a CJ2
PostPosted: 05 Jun 2018, 23:08 
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Username Protected wrote:
Well, it's not only a winglet, is it? It's a bigger wing all rolled into one with a winglet. High aspect wings add a lot of efficiency.

So you think Cessna didn't know that when designing the 525?

Yeah, they knew, and they figured out the right design point for the wing. That would have been a very basic part of the design. Airfoil shape, wing span, aspect ratio, etc.

You think they would leave 15% range on the table?

No way.

This is why I don't think there is 15% to gain with wing extensions/winglets.

Mike C.


They probably asked their clients what the max span was to fit in their hangars and out went 15% efficiency!
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