banner
banner

24 Apr 2024, 02:39 [ UTC - 5; DST ]


Greenwich AeroGroup (banner)



This topic is locked, you cannot edit posts or make further replies.  [ 7667 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 420, 421, 422, 423, 424, 425, 426 ... 512  Next
Username Protected Message
 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 10:49 
Offline


 Profile




Joined: 11/07/11
Posts: 723
Post Likes: +412
Location: KBED, KCRE
Aircraft: Phenom 100
Username Protected wrote:
10/4/2018: Falcon 50 runs off end of runway at Greensboro, SC. Chute useless for that.
Mike C.

Whaaaaaaat - never been to a funny car drag race???

(welcome back),

Chip-


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 10:49 
Offline


 WWW  Profile




Joined: 12/03/14
Posts: 19252
Post Likes: +23622
Company: Ciholas, Inc
Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
Username Protected wrote:
I see your point, but if iced up and tumbling down thru cumulus... pull or try to salvage first?

The initial design was the autopilot would automatically try to salvage the attitude and airspeed first, then the chute is deployed.

The SB disables the automatic autopilot part of the CAPS deployment, so that no longer happens. Now the pilot is asked to put the airplane within the chute envelope before pulling the CAPS.

The heavy implication is that if you are outside the CAPS envelope, you run the risk of the chute malfunctioning.

If the pilot can put the airplane inside the chute envelope, attitude, altitude, and speed, are you truly in danger?

As my list of private jet accidents reveals, jets rarely have fatal accidents when inside the chute envelope. The chute would have helped none of the cases so far this year.

Mike C.

_________________
Email mikec (at) ciholas.com


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 10:55 
Offline


 WWW  Profile




Joined: 12/03/14
Posts: 19252
Post Likes: +23622
Company: Ciholas, Inc
Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
Username Protected wrote:
Nobody is going to pull a chute at FL280. You’d have no pressurization or heat and who knows where you’d end up.

If the engine fails, you have no pressurization or heat.

Quote:
Emer descent then pull.

If you are at FL280, *AND* have the airplane under sufficient control to execute an emergency descent, why would you pull the chute?

From FL280, your glide range is such that you would be able to glide to an airport unless you are way out to sea.

The prerequisites for a chute pull are basically the same as the airplane not being in danger. You have altitude and you have control of attitude and airspeed.

Mike C.

_________________
Email mikec (at) ciholas.com


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 12:05 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 11/06/10
Posts: 11898
Post Likes: +2854
Company: Looking
Location: Outside Boston, or some hotel somewhere
Aircraft: None
Username Protected wrote:
The prerequisites for a chute pull are basically the same as the airplane not being in danger. You have altitude and you have control of attitude and airspeed.

Mike C.


And you have an unsure or not guaranteed safe landing.

Tim


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 12:32 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 01/29/08
Posts: 26431
Post Likes: +13066
Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
The new Denali (SETP) will be certified to FL310.....

https://cessna.txtav.com/en/turboprop/denali


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 13:07 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 01/29/08
Posts: 26431
Post Likes: +13066
Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
Username Protected wrote:
Imagine how much better and more expensive it would have been as a twin. Faster, higher, farther, safer, quieter.

It is too bad we don't have visibility into the OEM costs here, but I believe this isn't true.

That is, buying one FJ33 from Williams is about the same price as buying two PW610F from PWC. Williams has to price in added liability as an engine failure in a single is far more liability than in a twin. Further, it would be using an already developed engine on the shelf instead of a custom unique one with low volume expectations.

The near equal cost is particularly true when you consider the additional costs for being an SEJ including extra development time, the chute, and all the V tail control mechanisms (such as the dual yaw dampers).

In the end, total dollars in and out, Cirrus would be ahead if the SF50 was a twin. They would also sell more of them which amortizes the development costs over more units.

Mike C.

I'm still waiting on an explanation to this brain bender. 2 engines can be bought for the same price as 1? Where'd you go on this?

Twin engine mini jets that cost 2X the SF50 that haven't sold well or are no longer built:
Eclipse
Mustang
Phenom 100
M2
Hondajet

You think Cirrus should copy them?

Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 13:11 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 11/23/12
Posts: 2374
Post Likes: +2876
Company: CSRA Document Solutions
Location: Aiken, SC KAIK
Mike if I use your scenario I wouldn't buy a CJ either - they crash way more than Cirrus and other jets.

4/2/2018: CJ hits 152 on landing in Marion, IN. Chute useless for that.

4/15/2018: CJ hits mountain in Crozet, VA while scud running in low weather. Chute useless for that. Darwin award entry #1

8/13/2018: CJ hits house in Payson City, UT, suicide with attempted murder. Chute useless for that. That woman really pissed him off - Darwin contestant #2

10/4/2018: Falcon 50 runs off end of runway at Greensboro, SC. Chute useless for that.
Leading candidates for the Darwin award these two "pilots"

11/30/2018: CJ loses control sometime during initial climb, Jeffersonville, IN. Chute useless for that due to high speed of event all the way to the ground. maybe the cirrus computer kicks in and saves the day?

Once again Cirrus isn't trying to enter the twin engine business jet market - there are a lot of players in that space already. Even the "new business jets" look just like the old business jets. As for single engine versus twin - we've beat that to death - what's your risk tolerance? TBM, Pilatus, Piper, Cessna (Denali) finding single engine buyers everyday. Not many engine failures.....

For SF50 Version 1.0 I believe Cirrus has found a new niche.... Wonder what Version 2.0 will entail...

Peace,
Don


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 13:21 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 08/03/08
Posts: 16187
Post Likes: +8797
Location: 2W5
Aircraft: A36
Username Protected wrote:
The same can be said of a second engine for all the accidents you cited.

A multi engine jet somewhere in the world shuts down an engine nearly every day.

And you never hear about it because having a second engine provides safety.

Nobody else builds a single engine jet for this reason.

If you doubt a second jet engine adds safety, ask yourself if you would board a Boeing or Airbus if it had only one engine.

In the jet world, a second engine increases safety, speed, altitude, range, and efficiency. Cirrus doesn't know that, or at least they didn't when they started the SF-50 project.

Mike C.


For the accidents (and one attempted homicide) you cited, the presence of a second engine did not provide for any additional safety.

As for the canard on the single engine Boeing or Airbus, I would gladly board a PC12 for an EAS flight or a single engine helicopter. No reservations.

Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 13:57 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 11/21/09
Posts: 11898
Post Likes: +14665
Location: Albany, TX
Aircraft: Prior SR22T,V35B,182
There is a doctoral student somewhere that would give a LOT to use this thread as a dissertation basis for something along the lines of belief perseverance, cognitive bias and/or attitude polarization. :D


Last edited on 10 Dec 2018, 14:04, edited 1 time in total.

Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 13:59 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 01/01/10
Posts: 3457
Post Likes: +2400
Location: Roseburg, Oregon
Aircraft: Citation Mustang
Username Protected wrote:
For the accidents (and one attempted homicide) you cited, the presence of a second engine did not provide for any additional safety.

Which shows that you still can’t fix stupid. However, how many events became non-events because of a second engine? That’s an important stat that can’t be looked up.

_________________
Previous A36TN owner


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 14:10 
Offline


User avatar
 WWW  Profile




Joined: 08/03/10
Posts: 1562
Post Likes: +1781
Company: D&M Leasing Houston
Location: Katy, TX (KTME)
Aircraft: CitationV/C180
Mike's arguments can all be true and the SF50 can still be viable, appealing and successful. There seems to be some prevailing idea on both sides of this argument that both can't be true or that the sales disprove the engineering or vice versa.

Cirrus set to design a slow jet, that wasn't terribly efficient with limited range that was also easy to fly and relatively cheap. Thus far they have succeeded and it appears the project will be successful.


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 14:15 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 08/03/08
Posts: 16187
Post Likes: +8797
Location: 2W5
Aircraft: A36
Username Protected wrote:
For the accidents (and one attempted homicide) you cited, the presence of a second engine did not provide for any additional safety.

Which shows that you still can’t fix stupid. However, how many events became non-events because of a second engine? That’s an important stat that can’t be looked up.


Right, but it has no relevance to the answer that I gave to Mikes post. He used incidents that don't support his argument and I pointed out the fallacy in his reasoning.






The experience of the TBM700/850/900/930 and PC12 vs. twin engine competitors does not suggest that the absence of a second engine is a major factor in the overall safety profile. Planes crash for many different reasons with engine failure only one of them. 5 years from now we will probably see that SF50s crash for the same reason that CJs, Phenoms100s, TBMs and PC12s crash. People fly into the side of mountains, come up short on landing, over-shoot runways, stall in the pattern, hit power-poles etc. There may even be a few totaled SF50 airframes from landings under the chute, but my prediction is that net/net the numbers for fatals per 100k hrs between the Cirrus jetling and other owner-flown turbine aircraft will be very close. It's the 'nut that holds the yoke' that is responsible for most accidents, single, twin, triple is way down the list of factors.

Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 14:57 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 08/05/11
Posts: 5303
Post Likes: +2423
Aircraft: BE-55
423

and counting....ad nauseam

_________________
“ Embrace the Suck”


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 15:26 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 01/30/09
Posts: 6088
Post Likes: +3381
Location: Oklahoma City, OK (KPWA)
Aircraft: planeless
Username Protected wrote:
Mike's arguments can all be true and the SF50 can still be viable, appealing and successful. There seems to be some prevailing idea on both sides of this argument that both can't be true or that the sales disprove the engineering or vice versa.

Cirrus set to design a slow jet, that wasn't terribly efficient with limited range that was also easy to fly and relatively cheap. Thus far they have succeeded and it appears the project will be successful.


I agree that both sides can be right, but the sf50 is in no way a proven success yet. To know that we would have to know their margins and financials. After all presumably the point of the jet is to make money, right?


Top

 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 10 Dec 2018, 17:57 
Offline


User avatar
 Profile




Joined: 11/06/10
Posts: 11898
Post Likes: +2854
Company: Looking
Location: Outside Boston, or some hotel somewhere
Aircraft: None
Username Protected wrote:
I agree that both sides can be right, but the sf50 is in no way a proven success yet. To know that we would have to know their margins and financials. After all presumably the point of the jet is to make money, right?


Actually, you need to define success first.

Tim


Top

Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
This topic is locked, you cannot edit posts or make further replies.  [ 7667 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 420, 421, 422, 423, 424, 425, 426 ... 512  Next




You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Jump to:  

Terms of Service | Forum FAQ | Contact Us

BeechTalk, LLC is the quintessential Beechcraft Owners & Pilots Group providing a forum for the discussion of technical, practical, and entertaining issues relating to all Beech aircraft. These include the Bonanza (both V-tail and straight-tail models), Baron, Debonair, Duke, Twin Bonanza, King Air, Sierra, Skipper, Sport, Sundowner, Musketeer, Travel Air, Starship, Queen Air, BeechJet, and Premier lines of airplanes, turboprops, and turbojets.

BeechTalk, LLC is not affiliated or endorsed by the Beechcraft Corporation, its subsidiaries, or affiliates. Beechcraft™, King Air™, and Travel Air™ are the registered trademarks of the Beechcraft Corporation.

Copyright© BeechTalk, LLC 2007-2024

.ABS-85x100.jpg.
.avfab-85x50-2018-12-04.png.
.pdi-85x50.jpg.
.ei-85x150.jpg.
.MountainAirframe.jpg.
.SCA.jpg.
.CiESVer2.jpg.
.concorde.jpg.
.shortnnumbers-85x100.png.
.kadex-85x50.jpg.
.jandsaviation-85x50.jpg.
.temple-85x100-2015-02-23.jpg.
.lucysaviation-85x50.png.
.AAI.jpg.
.aircraftassociates-85x50.png.
.sierratrax-85x50.png.
.stanmusikame-85x50.jpg.
.midwest2.jpg.
.daytona.jpg.
.Marsh.jpg.
.gallagher_85x50.jpg.
.Wingman 85x50.png.
.one-mile-up-85x100.png.
.traceaviation-85x150.png.
.aviationdesigndouble.jpg.
.tat-85x100.png.
.headsetsetc_Small_85x50.jpg.
.Wentworth_85x100.JPG.
.saint-85x50.jpg.
.Foreflight_85x50_color.png.
.ssv-85x50-2023-12-17.jpg.
.wat-85x50.jpg.
.Latitude.jpg.
.chairmanaviation-85x50.jpg.
.kingairnation-85x50.png.
.planelogix-85x100-2015-04-15.jpg.
.avionwealth-85x50.png.
.Rocky-Mountain-Turbine-85x100.jpg.
.aeroled-85x50-2022-12-06.jpg.
.bullardaviation-85x50-2.jpg.
.blackwell-85x50.png.
.tempest.jpg.
.boomerang-85x50-2023-12-17.png.
.kingairacademy-85x100.png.
.geebee-85x50.jpg.
.camguard.jpg.
.jetacq-85x50.jpg.
.blackhawk-85x100-2019-09-25.jpg.
.aircraftferry-85x50.jpg.
.cav-85x50.jpg.
.centex-85x50.jpg.
.puremedical-85x200.jpg.
.bpt-85x50-2019-07-27.jpg.
.airmart-85x150.png.
.dbm.jpg.
.wilco-85x100.png.