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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 12:02 
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Username Protected wrote:
All the issues you mention have been solved for SETP.

Not a jet.

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So using a jet engine, which has the potential for greater efficiency

Not when limited to FL250.

Jet efficiency requires flying higher. Flying higher requires two engines. It is that simple.

Mike C.


Mike,

Every consideration you named as a systems issue to be solved has been solved with a turbine already. How the thrust is generated from a ducted high bypass fan or from a prop spinning in the air does not change how to take bleed air or electrical power or whatever off the turbine section and solve the systems problem.

If you want jet efficiency you want a single engine, look at the SFC numbers on new larger engines from RR or Pratt or GE. The bigger the engine in general better the efficiency.

Where you want two engines, is to deal with the FAA regulations and perceived risks. It has nothing to do with efficiency. The traditional answer to many of the risks the FAA regulations address is two engines, but that does not mean it is the only answer.

Until you accept the above two facts, we will disagree.

Last point, the economics of trying to find a new solution around the FAA requirements, so far has proven elusive and futile. The question is, has there been enough failures built enough knowledge for Cirrus to have a possible market success? I think the answer is maybe; you think the answer is no.

Tim

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 17:27 
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Username Protected wrote:
Every consideration you named as a systems issue to be solved has been solved with a turbine already. How the thrust is generated from a ducted high bypass fan or from a prop spinning in the air does not change how to take bleed air or electrical power or whatever off the turbine section and solve the systems problem.

It isn't making the systems work, it is making the systems work RELIABLY in the face of PROBABLE engine failure. When you had two engines, the power source reliability was effectively assured because you had TWO engines, now it is not. This flows down through all of the reliability analysis of every system. Most of the work of certifying is showing how the systems work in the face of FAILURES.

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If you want jet efficiency you want a single engine, look at the SFC numbers on new larger engines from RR or Pratt or GE. The bigger the engine in general better the efficiency.

The size difference between PW610F and FJ33 is not enough to greatly affect SFC. Further, the installation compromises for an SEJ eat up all the SFC advantage and probably more. So the SFC argument only works slightly when considered in isolation, not in an actual installation.

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Where you want two engines, is to deal with the FAA regulations and perceived risks. It has nothing to do with efficiency.

Mostly correct. There are installation compromises (angled engine axis, oversized V tail, trim drag) that do compromise the SEJ somewhat, but the primary issue is that the SEJ isn't allowed to fly high because it isn't reliable enough to be a space ship in super thin air. If it was, it would achieve most of the efficiency of the twin.

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The traditional answer to many of the risks the FAA regulations address is two engines, but that does not mean it is the only answer.

There are many worse answers. For example, adding an APU.

Every jet maker knows what it takes to certify a jet. None of them are even talking about an SEJ.

The maker who wanted the CHEAPEST and MOST efficient jet, Eclipse, used TWO engines. What does that tell you?

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Last point, the economics of trying to find a new solution around the FAA requirements, so far has proven elusive and futile.

For 50+ years.

If you think there is a compelling advantage to being a single, wouldn't that have happened by now? Well over a hundred twin jets have been certified, not one single.

Jets need to go high to be efficient. To go high you need two engines. Cirrus has accepted they will not be allowed to go high with their single. Thus the SF50 will be inefficient. There's nothing to argue here, that's the way it is.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 17:36 
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What's different about a single turbo prop?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 18:08 
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What's different about a single turbo prop?

It can be efficient in the 20s.

Even there, though, being a single isn't a huge advantage. The TBMs and PC12s are burning similar fuel as I am with two engines, and oddly enough, their engine reserve is quite a bit higher for their one engine than my two.

Both the extra fuel burn and the high engine hourly costs are a direct result of being a big block PT6, the -6x series.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 18:11 
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The TBMs and PC12s are burning similar fuel as I am with two engines, and oddly enough, their engine reserve is quite a bit higher for their one engine than my two.

Mike C.

They don't build Mits anymore. Stop comparing the 2.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 18:45 
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Can we be done now? Gaaaaaauuuuuussshh!
:deadhorse: :deadhorse: :deadhorse:



I think we have a long long way to go :D

Besides it imperative we reiterate everything at least another six or seven times. We've got to make 50 pages at least

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 19:07 
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Speaking of which, will activating the SF50 chute automatically extend the landing gear?


I suspect the SF50 will (like many other turbines with hydraulic gear) have a gas cylinder for emergency gear extension. Or, if it's electric, there would still be plenty of battery left after an engine failure to lower the gear.

As for whether the chute lowers the gear automatically or not, I assume that will depend on the gear extension speed and what happens if you bust it.

In the Citation, Vle is 250 and I have no idea what happens if you drop it faster than that. In my Bonanza, Vle is 145 and the gear doors will be bent higher than that, but the gear will still come down.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 19:33 
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Is a single jet is more efficient than a twin?

We do have some data that is almost directly head to head under similar conditions:

Cirrus **unverified** published data: 62.8 GPH, 300 KTAS, FL280.

EA500 **observed** data: 62.9 GPH, 305 KTAS, FL270.

Note that if the EA500 flew at FL280, the fuel flow would go down a bit and speed up a bit, so the twin would improve a bit over these numbers.

Now the EA500 goes up to FL410 and really improves its efficiency. The poor SF50 is stuck down low.

A twin jet is MORE efficient than a single because it can fly high, and it is about same efficiency at the same altitude and airspeed.

NO TWIN PENALTY.

Yes, this is different than piston airplanes.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 19:56 
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NO TWIN PENALTY.


I'd say there is a twin penalty: Two engines to repair (I've read your arguments about the economies of scale on the PW vs the FJ, but your underlying assumption is that the FJ won't reach critical mass. I consider that a very big assumption.)

Those published numbers from Cirrus change the economics of the SF50 a bit if they are point in time numbers. Since the chart is range vs speed, it's entirely possible that they used block to block averages instead of point in time.

Your Eclipse numbers are point in time. The block to block on those things is probably closer to 70? (Please, one of the Eclipse owners chime in here).

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 20:00 
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Username Protected wrote:
I suspect the SF50 will (like many other turbines with hydraulic gear) have a gas cylinder for emergency gear extension. Or, if it's electric, there would still be plenty of battery left after an engine failure to lower the gear.

By definition this is an emergency situation. You may not have hydraulics, electrics, etc. This is why a free fall or blow down system (gas cylinder as you say) would be preferred.

The emergency could be, oddly enough, unable to extend the gear. This isn't a question with the SR series, but would the AFM say belly it in or pull the chute?

Hmm, is Cirrus going to get an ELOS (equivalent level of safety) approved that says they don't need a manual gear extension method because they have a chute? They did that for the spin recovery requirements on the SR series. A 6000 pound plastic airplane with a ton of fuel on board skidding on a concrete runway might be a hull loss anyway, but I would want an emergency method to at least try before I do that. I've read of far too many people with gear problems who were successful with the emergency extension.

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As for whether the chute lowers the gear automatically or not, I assume that will depend on the gear extension speed and what happens if you bust it.

If you pull the chute, the landing gear (and the rest of the airplane) will never be used again, and you are extending it just for energy absorption, so I don't think Vle matters much. Whatever ends up sticking out of the bottom is what you will get.

The fact the SF50 is a retract adds an interesting wrinkle to the whole chute story.

Another question will be how the gear legs fair when impacting under chute. Unlike the SR series, the gear legs are mostly straight and so they may punch up through the wings. I worry about compromising the fuel compartment and then having a fire. In the SR series, the gear legs fold out and don't punch up through the wings.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 20:13 
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Username Protected wrote:
I'd say there is a twin penalty: Two engines to repair (I've read your arguments about the economies of scale on the PW vs the FJ, but your underlying assumption is that the FJ won't reach critical mass. I consider that a very big assumption.)

That's not all of the 1 versus 2 argument.

Liability: the single engine airframe maker AND engine maker are taking much higher liability on the single engine jet and they have to fully load that cost into just ONE engine. Every engine failure in the SEJ is FAR more likely to be a lawsuit. It doesn't take many of them to radically change the cost structure of the product. Long term, Williams has to extract money from the engine reserves (HSI, OH parts) to cover this, too, and that is from half the units.

Systems: the airframe maker will have to make more complex systems to compensate for the redundancy limitations of the single engine.

Design and certification: more costly and harder with a single engine for both airframe and engine maker. That has to be amortized over the units sold, now half for the engine maker.

Quote:
Your Eclipse numbers are point in time.

So are the SF50 numbers.

The PW610F engine is in service so we can get an idea what the HSI and OH costs are per hour.

The FJ33 is not in service in any meaningful way. All of its hourly costs are TBD.

It would not surprise me in the least if the FJ33 costs about twice per hour as the PW610F.

Also, don't forget the speed ratio. The EA500 is about 20-25% faster, which means engine hourly costs are 20-25% less per mile.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 20:15 
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Username Protected wrote:
Another question will be how the gear legs fair when impacting under chute.


Good question. I'd wager they've designed them to fail in a safe and useful way.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 20:20 
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Every engine failure in the SEJ is FAR more likely to be a lawsuit.

Or a CAPS save. :D

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 22:33 
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Its interesting to hear from an engineer. I suspect Cirrus has one under employ though. It seems you assume you are the only one.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2014, 22:33 
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Username Protected wrote:
Every engine failure in the SEJ is FAR more likely to be a lawsuit.
Or a CAPS save. :D

Or both.

I wonder what the insurance underwriters will think of the SF50. They don't have any SEJs to compare it with. Do they extrapolate from the SR series? Do they extrapolate from SETPs? Twin jets?

Not easy to figure that one out.

Mike C.
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