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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 23 Dec 2018, 15:22 
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Username Protected wrote:
The engineers never want to stop tweaking things to put them into production, and normally don't understand or agree with the marketing and legal side. Of course, the accountants also have their say.
I had a client years ago what was the head of engineering at a line at GM. He said the biggest problem they had was getting the engineers to stop trying to teak things more so they could actually put cars into production. :D


Has been my issue for 30 years heading up extremely talented engineering and design teams.
Unless rigidly boxed in with cast in stone design and cost parameters, you often end up with what I call the golden screw. Doesn’t add value, costs a bomb and nobody wants it. You typically have to give away all your margins to sell it. But boy is it clever and pretty and engineered.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 23 Dec 2018, 18:15 
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The engineering circle and the marketing circle don’t overlap on the Venn diagram.


Yes, they disagree on ‘Venn’ to begin production. :-)

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 23 Dec 2018, 23:15 
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I’m having trouble getting passionate about this topic.

I was at Camarillo Airport perhaps 8 months ago when Cirrus showed up with 2 brand spanking new jets for an airborne photo shoot.

They parked out on the ramp in front of the restaurant and drew a massive crowd while they refueled and waited for that perfect light the photographers like as the sun sets.

While they waited we (as in the large CROWD of pilots and mechanics) were allowed to circle the aircraft, ask questions, get inside, etc. They were BEAUTIFUL.

But sadly they are out of the price range that most of us mere mortals have for aircraft. C’est la vie.

They’re bigger inside than one might think. They’re beautiful in person, regardless of what a photo might make one think.

Obviously they are selling well. Good for them. I guess if I had a couple million to spend on a personal transport (aka Toy) I’d give them a serious look. Sadly I don’t.

Oh well. Good luck to them and to their buyers.

Jim

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 24 Dec 2018, 11:07 
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Username Protected wrote:
I’m having trouble getting passionate about this topic.


They are debated for the same reason we argue about how bad the Stealers are, and why they should never have made the playoffs. Or go with the perennial hated Patriots.

Tim


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 01:39 
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Company: Ciholas, Inc
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If I give you $500 million, you can acquire suitable facilities, recruit a whole aviation manufacturing staff, design a clean sheet twin that will forever change aviation, AND have enough left over to be deemed a viable company that can stand behind its product?
Dang.
You are good.

No, I won't waste it trying to invent stuff.

I will simply design and build a good straightforward airplane with the least innovation possible.

You buy engines from PWC.

You buy avionics from Garmin.

And so on for each system.

There's not one thing you have to invent to build this plane.

You can do that for $500M.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 01:48 
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As we used to say in software, "Shipping is also a feature"

The problem with that theory is that Cirrus spent extra design time (and missed the shipping date by years) because it was a single instead of a twin.

You guys are still stuck in the mindset that a single engine jet is somehow easier and faster to market. Ain't so. Building the first SEJ is much more work than a twin, both for being first and for the complexities being a single introduces in system design and the side effects of the engine mount position.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 01:52 
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Username Protected wrote:
"There comes a time in every project when you have to shoot the engineer and begin"

I am specifically arguing for LESS engineering.

All this "do less engineering" sentiment is EXACTLY why you want to build a twin. Cirrus had to do MORE engineering to make it a single, and got a worse result.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 02:00 
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Username Protected wrote:
Obviously they are selling well.

Are they?

I mean, are they selling NOW? That is, how many contracts has Cirrus signed since the planes have actually EXISTED so you knew what your were getting?

It feels like nearly all the "sales" were people buying the brochure, and not the actual plane itself. Now that the plane truly exists, are there a pool of buyers waiting to see the real product who are now putting money down on them? Doesn't feel like that is happening.

It was years after introduction before you saw a used Mustang or Eclipse on controller.com. Presently there are 3 used SF50s on controller.com. Why aren't those selling?

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 08:44 
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If I give you $500 million, you can acquire suitable facilities, recruit a whole aviation manufacturing staff, design a clean sheet twin that will forever change aviation, AND have enough left over to be deemed a viable company that can stand behind its product?
Dang.
You are good.

No, I won't waste it trying to invent stuff.

I will simply design and build a good straightforward airplane with the least innovation possible.

You buy engines from PWC.

You buy avionics from Garmin.

And so on for each system.

There's not one thing you have to invent to build this plane.

You can do that for $500M.

Mike C.

I guess the next question is why would someone buy your airplane? What’s it going to do different from a CJ, a Phenom or a Honda?

Chip-

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 09:39 
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I guess the next question is why would someone buy your airplane? What’s it going to do different from a CJ, a Phenom or a Honda?

Chip-

I asked that same question of Mike C for the last 2 years in this thread. He won't answer it.

This airplane Mike C wants to build already exists and doesn't sell very well. Go buy a Honda Jet or an M2 or a Phenom 100. SF50 is outselling all of them and has been on the market the least about of time. M2 and HJ cost 2X what the SF50 costs.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 09:49 
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Username Protected wrote:
I guess the next question is why would someone buy your airplane? What’s it going to do different from a CJ, a Phenom or a Honda?

Chip-

I asked that same question of Mike C a couple years ago in this thread. He won't answer it.

This airplane Mike C wants to build already exists and doesn't sell very well. Go buy a Honda Jet or an M2 or a Phenom 100. SF50 is outselling all of them.


That is a lot of money to buy one of these that have really high operating costs, and are all somewhat limited in what they can do. The SF50 is limited in what it can do (range, payload, short, high and hot) but is relatively cheap at 2.8 mil to these others at 4-5 mil. I think that is the crux. Every mil above 1 mil really starts weeding out owner pilots. At least that is the way I see it as an owner pilot that is always looking at the market. Why do the Turboprops like the PC12, M600 and TBM sell so well. A lot of reasons, but they don't have much in the way of limits. They can go most anywhere, most any time, fill all the seats, and not require a fuel stop. Plus no type rating hassle, but that is probably a minor point. Looking at the Hondajet, there are a lot of limitation. How many can I carry, how far, what time of day can I take off to make the climb gradient, is the runway going to be in good enough shape (meaning perfectly clean for the Honda and P100 ;-)) Cirrus also has a cult following which helps. I think the majority of owners are going to be coming out of SR's.
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 09:54 
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I guess the next question is why would someone buy your airplane? What’s it going to do different from a CJ, a Phenom or a Honda?

Be cheaper, smaller, lower cost to operate. A personal jet.

Eclipse planform, Garmin avionics, and a structural design compatible with industry norms.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 10:01 
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This airplane Mike C wants to build already exists

Doesn't today.

Quote:
Go buy a Honda Jet or an M2 or a Phenom 100. SF50 is outselling all of them

I bet more purchase contracts were signed for each of those types than the SF50 in 2018, thus the SF50 is not outselling them presently. That's apples to apples.

You are comparing brochure sales made 10+ years ago against real actual planes today and you've stated that information from 10 years ago is meaningless.

Quote:
M2 and HJ cost 2X what the SF50 costs.

Which is why my proposed plane doesn't exist today, not in the same class.

So far, the entrants into the personal VLJ have all been crippled by self inflicted wounds of engineering ego of one form or another. The plane doesn't need to be a gadget or be exotic, just be ordinary and functional.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 10:30 
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Username Protected wrote:
I bet more purchase contracts were signed for each of those types than the SF50 in 2018, thus the SF50 is not outselling them presently. That's apples to apples.

You are comparing brochure sales made 10+ years ago against real actual planes today and you've stated that information from 10 years ago is meaningless.

Mike C.

I'll bet you $100 this time next year the SF50 is still outselling the M2, Phenom 100 and Hondajet.

Here 2018 through the 3rd quarter:
SF50 41
Phenom 100 8
Hondajet 21
Citation M2 22

https://gama.aero/wp-content/uploads/20 ... portQ3.pdf


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 27 Dec 2018, 10:31 
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Username Protected wrote:
Which is why my proposed plane doesn't exist today, not in the same class.

So far, the entrants into the personal VLJ have all been crippled by self inflicted wounds of engineering ego of one form or another. The plane doesn't need to be a gadget or be exotic, just be ordinary and functional.

Mike C.

This is called "armchair QB".


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