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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 14 Dec 2018, 23:29 
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Username Protected wrote:
Jets have a restart flight envelope they must be in in order to use the restart procedure, just like the SF 50 has an envelope to be in for chute use, in both cases the pilot puts the plane in that envelope before using the procedure when possible.

The twin jet pilot doesn't have to air start the second one, it is already running and happily providing thrust to a safe landing at an airport of the pilot's choosing.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 14 Dec 2018, 23:36 
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Username Protected wrote:
Someone stated in another thread that your relative is an engineer for Textron/Cessna and holds patents with them. Was that fake news?

https://patents.google.com/?inventor=%2 ... ciholas%22

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 14 Dec 2018, 23:48 
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Username Protected wrote:
So a manufacturer can purchase two PW610f motors to install on a new airplane for the same price as one FJ33?

OEM engine supply agreements are confidential, so you will never see verifiable proof of this.

However, from the Eclipse bankruptcy documents filed during proceedings (sadly, no longer accessible online), the PWC agreement showed Eclipse was getting PW610F for about $280K each.

A new FJ44-2A runs about $750K each. This is why a Williams conversion of a Citation 501SP is about $2.1M out the door, most of that is the engines.

Correct for inflation, the rough price delta is about double per engine, or two PW610F is the cost of one FJ33-5A (which is just an FJ44 in reality, it is on the FJ44 TCDS).

Further evidence is the sales price history of both the Eclipse and SF50 have been remarkably similar, so the second engine didn't affect the sales price very much.

A single larger engine will cost more per unit for being larger, for having fewer units to amortize development costs over, for having higher liability to the engine manufacturer, and for having lower future revenue for service and major engine events. Engine makers ultimately make as much money if not more from future parts and service than they do from the initial purchase.

Given 500 airframes of each type, would you rather be the engine OEM that supports 1000 engines on a twin or 500 engines on a single? For the twin, you sell twice as many engines, sell twice as many parts and service, and have basically zero liability. On the single, you sell half as many engines, sell half as many parts and service, and have a huge liability if the engine fails.

Seems like a simply choice to me, and that's reflected in the price the OEM pays to get the engine.

Mike C.


You are drawing wild conclusions from stale data. Neither the price PW agreed to with Eclipse 15 years ago nor the retail price on a FJ44 allows you to draw any valid conclusions regarding Cirrus's OEM cost for the FJ33.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 14 Dec 2018, 23:53 
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Username Protected wrote:
You are drawing wild conclusions from stale data. Neither the price PW agreed to with Eclipse 15 years ago nor the retail price on a FJ44 allows you to draw any valid conclusions regarding Cirrus's OEM cost for the FJ33.


I think it's a valid conclusion to draw. It costs about double to overhaul a PT6-67 vs a 135A... bigger engine costs more to overhaul,.. why would jet engines be different?

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 17:54 
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Mike’s brother Phillipe does work for cessna. I’ve known them both from cessna.org since 2006. Nothing to see here


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 17:56 
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Joined: 01/29/08
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Username Protected wrote:
So a manufacturer can purchase two PW610f motors to install on a new airplane for the same price as one FJ33?

OEM engine supply agreements are confidential, so you will never see verifiable proof of this.

However, from the Eclipse bankruptcy documents filed during proceedings (sadly, no longer accessible online), the PWC agreement showed Eclipse was getting PW610F for about $280K each.

A new FJ44-2A runs about $750K each. This is why a Williams conversion of a Citation 501SP is about $2.1M out the door, most of that is the engines.

Correct for inflation, the rough price delta is about double per engine, or two PW610F is the cost of one FJ33-5A (which is just an FJ44 in reality, it is on the FJ44 TCDS).

Further evidence is the sales price history of both the Eclipse and SF50 have been remarkably similar, so the second engine didn't affect the sales price very much.

A single larger engine will cost more per unit for being larger, for having fewer units to amortize development costs over, for having higher liability to the engine manufacturer, and for having lower future revenue for service and major engine events. Engine makers ultimately make as much money if not more from future parts and service than they do from the initial purchase.

Given 500 airframes of each type, would you rather be the engine OEM that supports 1000 engines on a twin or 500 engines on a single? For the twin, you sell twice as many engines, sell twice as many parts and service, and have basically zero liability. On the single, you sell half as many engines, sell half as many parts and service, and have a huge liability if the engine fails.

Seems like a simply choice to me, and that's reflected in the price the OEM pays to get the engine.

Mike C.

How much does a PW610F cost right now?

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 17:57 
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Username Protected wrote:
You are drawing wild conclusions from stale data. Neither the price PW agreed to with Eclipse 15 years ago nor the retail price on a FJ44 allows you to draw any valid conclusions regarding Cirrus's OEM cost for the FJ33.


I think it's a valid conclusion to draw. It costs about double to overhaul a PT6-67 vs a 135A... bigger engine costs more to overhaul,.. why would jet engines be different?

Which engine is “bigger”?

If the Pratt is so cheap, why isn’t every OEM using them?

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:08 
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Username Protected wrote:
If the Pratt is so cheap, why isn’t every OEM using them?

They do.

The PW600 series owns the 900 to 1600 lbf thrust class. Eclipse, Mustang, Phenom 100. I'm not aware of any other engines in this size class that are commercially viable presently.

The PW600 series was specifically designed to be used in VLJs and used in pairs. Part of that was designing them to be lower cost so it was economical for the smaller planes.

Maybe someday Cirrus will see the light and build a twin jet. It literally does everything better than a single.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:13 
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Username Protected wrote:

Maybe someday Cirrus will see the light and build a twin jet. It literally does everything better than a single.

Mike C.


Not true. See the sales numbers. Where else can you buy $2.5 million NEW jet?

Peace,
Don


Last edited on 15 Dec 2018, 18:14, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:14 
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MAX CAPS ACTIVATION SPEED
LOWER OF 135 KIAS OR 145 KTAS



At FL280, 145 KTAS is 92 KIAS. That's pretty slow.


Mike C.


Wouldn't 92 KIAS be substantially lower than 135 KIAS? I'm pretty sure the intent is to not pull the chute with excessive air flowing around the airframe. The air is thinner at altitude, so wouldn't KIAS be the primary governing number? Seems like something is being taken out of context here, but it's admittedly not my area of expertise to the plane or to high-altitude operations.


Parachutes perform more by True airspeed. Weird physics, but you can get crazy deployment speeds with high TAS. A chute is not a wing. ;)
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:20 
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Username Protected wrote:
If the Pratt is so cheap, why isn’t every OEM using them?

They do.

The PW600 series owns the 900 to 1600 lbf thrust class. Eclipse, Mustang, Phenom 100. I'm not aware of any other engines in this size class that are commercially viable presently.

The PW600 series was specifically designed to be used in VLJs and used in pairs. Part of that was designing them to be lower cost so it was economical for the smaller planes.

Maybe someday Cirrus will see the light and build a twin jet. It literally does everything better than a single.

Mike C.

OK.... then how much does PW610F cost?

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:23 
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Regarding the new Cessna Denali:

I think it will be a market success.

Mike C.

What’s the real deal here Mike? A single engine TP (that costs twice the price of the SF50) is a home run, a single engine jet is the worst idea ever (according to you). Seems like you have a beef with Cirrus.

Peace,
Don


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:24 
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Username Protected wrote:
Jets have a restart flight envelope they must be in in order to use the restart procedure, just like the SF 50 has an envelope to be in for chute use, in both cases the pilot puts the plane in that envelope before using the procedure when possible.

The twin jet pilot doesn't have to air start the second one, it is already running and happily providing thrust to a safe landing at an airport of the pilot's choosing.

Mike C.


Of course a twin jet has redundancy of thrust that a single engine jet does not have, and the twin jet owner pays an additional purchase price and operational cost for that redundancy that the SF50 owner does not.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:25 
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Username Protected wrote:
Where else can you buy $2.5 million NEW jet?

Presently, nowhere, not even from Cirrus.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 15 Dec 2018, 18:28 
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Username Protected wrote:
What’s the real deal here Mike? A single engine TP (that costs twice the price of the SF50) is a home run, a single engine jet is the worst idea ever (according to you).

The reasons are fundamental to turboprops versus jets. I've written about this lots of times.

Mike C.

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