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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 21:46 
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Username Protected wrote:
Exactly!

I guess I don't know what "Crandalled" means.

or

You didn't read the thread.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 22:29 
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Crandalled must mean when you invite everyone to your own town. :D


Username Protected wrote:
Exactly!

I guess I don't know what "Crandalled" means.

or

You didn't read the thread.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 22:29 
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I'm a potential buyer for this jet.

I fly 1-3 people most often, and it will accomodate a family for those few trips. My 421 got over, around, or under any weather I needed. This will fly as high and go much faster. It won't go under, but neither will its turboprop competitors . The airplane should be simple to operate and highly reliable.

If you use a plane for regular business transport (250+ hours annually), it has to be ready to go every time. One missed meeting could ruin your annual cost/NM.

The chute allows any of my passengers to escape if anything were to happen to me while flying.

It fits in my hangar.

I can buy $3/gas, and have fuel anywhere in the world.

I understand this plane. I also love the MU2, but it obviously has its drawbacks.

If I could make my Baron go 300kts, it would be just right. Throwing in pressure, turbine smooth and quiet, reliability, cool factor, and a chute gets you to the SF50.

Makes sense to me.


Perfectly said. They're finishing up the TAT conversion for the Baron's. That airplane will haul the mail......


Michael,

Where did you get info on TAT baron?

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 22:32 
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Username Protected wrote:
Crandalled must mean when you invite everyone to your own town. :D

Yeah. I think there are a few towns with the name Crandall. Probably a few with the name Bourdon too. :D


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 22:45 
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Username Protected wrote:
Nate, heads up, Ciholas is actually Crandall disguised as an MU2 pilot :D

go get em :box:


:D


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 22:51 
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Joined: 03/18/09
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Company: Elemental - Pipistrel
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Username Protected wrote:
There is one thing I learned from being a long time member of the Cessna Pilots Association.

I would never ever make a bet against Mike Ciholas on anything concerning aviation!

Sincerely,

Bobby Southard


That's like waving a red flag around here.

I will join the other Jason's bet...

It will be successful. Not an engineering marvel but successful.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 22:56 
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Joined: 11/09/13
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Location: KCMA
Aircraft: Aero Commander 980
Need to define successful?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:05 
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I offered the bet to Ciholas that if the SF50 makes it to market it would be a success. He won't bet me.
Flawed bet. "If it doesn't make it to market, then no action" is like "heads I win, tails no bet". Obviously, if it gets all the way to market and sells 5 airplanes to unrelated customers, it's going to be at least a modest success.

Put a time-bound on it, and make it a bet (and a loss) if it fails to make it to market by that time, and then it's a more balanced bet.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:13 
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This thread has been the engineers arguing with the marketing guys and a little with each other.

I don't know anything about the engineering, but for whatever its worth, I agree with the marketing guy. IF the engineers deliver it will sell.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:16 
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Username Protected wrote:
I offered the bet to Ciholas that if the SF50 makes it to market it would be a success. He won't bet me.
Flawed bet. "If it doesn't make it to market, then no action" is like "heads I win, tails no bet". Obviously, if it gets all the way to market and sells 5 airplanes to unrelated customers, it's going to be at least a modest success.

Put a time-bound on it, and make it a bet (and a loss) if it fails to make it to market by that time, and then it's a more balanced bet.


One guy says if A then B, and another guy says not A. Why would they bet?

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:25 
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Username Protected wrote:
Exactly!

I guess YOU don't know what "Crandalled" means.

FIFY
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:26 
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Username Protected wrote:
Need to define successful?

They sell all that are already ordered and it becomes a pivotal part of the company.

Hell, according to Ciholas it won't even make it to market.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:29 
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Username Protected wrote:
I offered the bet to Ciholas that if the SF50 makes it to market it would be a success. He won't bet me.
Flawed bet. "If it doesn't make it to market, then no action" is like "heads I win, tails no bet". Obviously, if it gets all the way to market and sells 5 airplanes to unrelated customers, it's going to be at least a modest success.

Put a time-bound on it, and make it a bet (and a loss) if it fails to make it to market by that time, and then it's a more balanced bet.

Not flawed at all considering Ciholas thinks it won't make it to market. He also thinks if it does it'll bankrupt the company and it's a complete waste of time and money. According to him it's a failed product.

I say the opposite will happen and I'll put $1K on it. Anyone is free to get in on this.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:34 
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Joined: 10/27/10
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Username Protected wrote:
Put a time-bound on it, and make it a bet (and a loss) if it fails to make it to market by that time, and then it's a more balanced bet.

Not flawed at all considering Ciholas thinks it won't make it to market. He also thinks if it does it'll bankrupt the company and it's a complete waste of time and money. According to him it's a failed product.

I say the opposite will happen and I'll put $1K on it. Anyone is free to get in on this.
Pick the date that we'll settle the bet, and I may be interested. I'll take the other side of that, settled on 1/1/18 as a win for my side if they haven't delivered 5 fully-conforming, type-certificated airframes by that date. Whether we do it for $100 or $1K doesn't matter to me. $100 is enough to make it interesting, but I'll find a way to spend that other $900 just the same... :bud:

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 09 Dec 2014, 23:37 
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Joined: 05/05/09
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Aircraft: C501, R66, A36
Question 1 is : where do i buy Crandall sunglasses?

I got a G versus Chiolas on cirrus certifying and selling lots of cirrus jets.

You on?


Side bet on elcipse getting bought out.

Mike


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