08 Dec 2025, 20:33 [ UTC - 5; DST ]
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 15:31 |
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Joined: 01/29/08 Posts: 26338 Post Likes: +13086 Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
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Username Protected wrote: So Coke meant to put out a bad product?
The value in Coke is in the name brand recognition. Tremendous loss in value if you damage that, long way from ZERO $$$$.
Look back in this thread and see all the aviation flops throughout history. Every one had geniuses making the decisions. I can taste test 10 people on what I believe to be the best tasting product in the world. 5 will like it. 5 won't. You can't compare a subjective thing like taste to something that can be tested with numbers. Taste is subjective. It can't be measured. I'm open to another bad product roll out analogy but New Coke isn't it. Nothing on the planet requires more testing than a new airplane. NOTHING. How can Cirrus be as wrong as you predict when measurable data is available?
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 15:34 |
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Joined: 01/29/08 Posts: 26338 Post Likes: +13086 Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
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Username Protected wrote: With that as a core business strategy, I doubt the initial SF50 buyers will do any comparison shopping or care that their jet isn't as technically efficient as others they could have purchased. They have that upgrade path today. I doubt the majority of new SR22 buyers considered buying off the used market. For many, I presume, it was straight to the Cirrus dealer.
This assumes an SR owner would be turned off by a twin engine Cirrus Jet. Cirrus is Cirrus. If Cirrus built a twin jet Cirrus owners would be just as happy. There has to be something about this being a single that they've gone this far with it. I do not believe they are morons as Binnette and Ciholas contend. Cirrus has had plenty of time to get out of this.
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 15:35 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20807 Post Likes: +26310 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: Cirrus created the market for plastic parachute-equipped planes from thin air just like apple created the market for ipods. There was no need for those products until they were introduced, but once available they became ubiquitous. Sorry to burst your bubble, but the Columbia 300 was certified before the Cirrus SR series in 1998. Cirrus did not "create" the plastic airplane market, it was one of a few competitors, of which they did become the most successful. Ubiquitous is debatable, high wing Cessnas out number them at least 6 to 1. Also, MP3 players existed well before Apple's iPod. Apple did not create that market either. Their innovation was monopolistic music marketing through their iTunes store. The iPod itself was mundane, devoid of any meaningful technical achievement. It is common to engage in revisionist history when a company takes over a market, painting them as some how inventing the market when all they did was steal it. Quote: The track record of the people making it is pretty good when it comes to creating new market segments. Let's hope they make flying cars next. That will allow many of you to argue we no one can know that such a product will fail, so it might succeed. I've seen this movie before. We're near the end when the proponents start claiming their ignorance applies to everyone else. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 15:37 |
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Joined: 01/29/08 Posts: 26338 Post Likes: +13086 Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
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Username Protected wrote: I can't explain why the "New Beetle" seems to have succeeded while "New Coke" did not, but figure there is probably a good lesson as to why. There was no "Old Beetle" to be bought on the dealership floor when the "New Beetle" was introduced. Apples and Oranges comparison.
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 16:14 |
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Joined: 02/26/11 Posts: 483 Post Likes: +289 Location: Fort Worth, TX
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Username Protected wrote: Also, MP3 players existed well before Apple's iPod. Apple did not create that market either. Their innovation was monopolistic music marketing through their iTunes store. The iPod itself was mundane, devoid of any meaningful technical achievement.
Mike C. The level that you go to to try and degrade companies products, even when they are wildly successful, is kinda ridiculous. If the product and company makes millions of dollars, I dont think you saying that their product is inferior is valid. Don't be such a hater.
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 17:05 |
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Joined: 04/16/12 Posts: 7425 Post Likes: +14187 Location: Keller, TX (KFTW)
Aircraft: '68 36 (E-19)
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Username Protected wrote: With that as a core business strategy, I doubt the initial SF50 buyers will do any comparison shopping or care that their jet isn't as technically efficient as others they could have purchased. They have that upgrade path today. I doubt the majority of new SR22 buyers considered buying off the used market. For many, I presume, it was straight to the Cirrus dealer.
This assumes an SR owner would be turned off by a twin engine Cirrus Jet. Cirrus is Cirrus. If Cirrus built a twin jet Cirrus owners would be just as happy. There has to be something about this being a single that they've gone this far with it. I do not believe they are morons as Binnette and Ciholas contend. Cirrus has had plenty of time to get out of this.
Answer. V-Tail design is not a twin engine design. Maybe that's not what drove them to single engine. But if you start with "what's going to differentiate our product in a way that our target customers will care about?" the V-Tail does that in spades, just like the chute did for the SR.
The chute overcame the substantial "technical deficiency" of the original SR20 being a relatively slow plane with a low UL. Did those buyers say, "nah, I'll go buy a Bonanza as it's cheaper, faster and can carry more".
Technically, that would have been the smarter decision. But Bonanza is not new, and doesn't have a chute. SR buyers spoke with their money, not their mouths, and said "we don't use spreadsheets to make these purchase decisions."
_________________ Things are rarely what they seem, but they're always exactly what they are.
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 17:56 |
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Joined: 11/11/12 Posts: 1604 Post Likes: +843 Location: san francisco (KHAF)
Aircraft: C55 baron
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Username Protected wrote: Also, MP3 players existed well before Apple's iPod. Apple did not create that market either. Their innovation was monopolistic music marketing through their iTunes store. The iPod itself was mundane, devoid of any meaningful technical achievement. I have an original iPod. It was way better than everything else. It was the first to have the tiny hard disk -- "1000 songs in your pocket". It had a really great user interface (anchored by the scroll wheel) compared to the complete crap like the Rio that preceded it. And the integration with iTunes was very very good, in large part thanks to using firewire instead of slow USB 1. All that said, iPod was a niche thing until they shipped iTunes for Windows and launched the music store. OTOH, there's the Newton, a big engineering effort that totally and completely missed the mark.
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 18:06 |
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Joined: 01/29/08 Posts: 26338 Post Likes: +13086 Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
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Username Protected wrote: Answer. V-Tail design is not a twin engine design. Maybe that's not what drove them to single engine. But if you start with "what's going to differentiate our product in a way that our target customers will care about?" the V-Tail does that in spades, just like the chute did for the SR.
The chute overcame the substantial "technical deficiency" of the original SR20 being a relatively slow plane with a low UL. Did those buyers say, "nah, I'll go buy a Bonanza as it's cheaper, faster and can carry more".
Technically, that would have been the smarter decision. But Bonanza is not new, and doesn't have a chute. SR buyers spoke with their money, not their mouths, and said "we don't use spreadsheets to make these purchase decisions." I don't think anyone in the market for a jet cares if it's a VTail or not. I'd bet many don't even notice. I bought a Bonanza over an SR22 in 2008. First plane, new pilot.
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 18:15 |
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Joined: 11/11/12 Posts: 1604 Post Likes: +843 Location: san francisco (KHAF)
Aircraft: C55 baron
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Username Protected wrote: Many, many engineers in the industry would already know that it wouldn't work if what you say is true and it wouldn't get past the drawing stage.
I don't think Cirrus has 1 engineer running this whole thing. They have a bunch. They've been flying the SF50. They could have pulled the plug at any time or switched it to a 2 engine design at any time. They're far enough along to know by now if they're wasting their time.
Yeah, but I suspect incentives aren't totally aligned between the investors and builders. The investors (first depositors, then the new ownership) are betting on a product vision which may or may not work. But for the engineers, the SF50 is an interesting, challenging, fun project! And there just aren't a lot of clean sheet airplane designs to work on in the world, let alone North Dakota. Having raised the necessary capital, I doubt R&D has much incentive to stop plugging away at it.
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 18:22 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20807 Post Likes: +26310 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: Answer. V-Tail design is not a twin engine design. Maybe that's not what drove them to single engine. I am sure that is backwards. They started with the idea to build a single engine jet. The only problem, where to put the engine? The V tail gave them the room to put it on top and not blast the tail. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 18:23 |
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Joined: 01/29/08 Posts: 26338 Post Likes: +13086 Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
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Username Protected wrote: Yeah, but I suspect incentives aren't totally aligned between the investors and builders. The investors (first depositors, then the new ownership) are betting on a product vision which may or may not work. But for the engineers, the SF50 is an interesting, challenging, fun project! And there just aren't a lot of clean sheet airplane designs to work on in the world, let alone North Dakota. Having raised the necessary capital, I doubt R&D has much incentive to stop plugging away at it. Sorry, not buying this either. The most basic fundamentals of building a jet are being ignored (according to Mike Ciholas) and billions of $$ spent because it's a challenging and fun project?
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Post subject: Re: Single engine pressurized above FL 250 Posted: 22 Jan 2016, 18:35 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20807 Post Likes: +26310 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: I have an original iPod. It was way better than everything else. It was the first to have the tiny hard disk Not true. 3 years before iPod first appeared, there were at least 4 portable digital music players with hard disks. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portable_media_playerThere was nothing innovative abut the iPod itself. It stored compressed digital audio, it played it back. That was so non innovative that Apple produced prior art for it that was over 20 years old during a lawsuit. You Apple fan boys really like revisionist history. Apple does not innovate very much. What they do is execute old ideas elegantly and expensively. Those are two very different things. What was innovative was iTunes, specifically the monopolistic practice of denying any other way to purchase music for your iPod except through the store. Apple essentially owned your ears when you bought an iPod. The music industry didn't realize what was about to happen or they would have prevented it (and thankfully the video industry didn't go down the same path, one of the reasons that Apple has had a hard time breaking into the video market). Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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