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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:26 
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Company: Nantucket Rover Repair
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No question we all love our planes, and most of us are very passionate about them. Part of the reason I love mine is because I get to tinker with it and enjoy the process of incrementally improving it. I suspect that these reasons may make me a dying breed unfortunately [/quote]

+1 :sad:


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:28 
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Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
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Username Protected wrote:
I fly, maintain and manage a PC12 in my free time and I like it. People get paid to do this? Really? It's easy. I wouldn't pay anyone to do this.

I see youtube videos of PC12s flying with 2 uniformed corporate pilots and I'm like "really? These guys must be bored to death"


Hey I resemble that remark :bat:
I fly a corporate PC12, an SR22, and an R66.

You're right my job is easy and without an XM radio it would be very boring. But I tell guys like you all the time we don't get paid to fly. We get paid to live with a cell phone. We get paid to miss birthdays and anniversaries. Many could not do what we do..

My point exactly.....

Flying and taking care of airplanes is fun and easy.....

"Working for the man" is the hard part.

Since I fly the airplane myself, I get to attend all of my friends and families birthdays, anniversaries and swing parties. It's a win/win.

Just fly away from the red stuff.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:28 
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Good morning Jason, my comments may have been flippant, but not inaccurate. From what little I've read, I think the Corvallis is a better aircraft, at least faster with a higher probability of long term corporate survival, but of course without the chute.

I may have been put off by the " . . . chicks dig it . . ." just because something as complex as the purchase and use of an aircraft of this type and financial outlay would be based on a more measurable criteria.

Some of us don't have the ability to write off he aircraft through tax law so we must base our evaluations on more concrete data than the coolness factor.

Obviously pilots of my mindset are decreasing in number, but we won't consent to go quietly.

Also as to why Beech is so clueless . . . ?

:cheers:


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:30 
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Username Protected wrote:
OK, let's synopsize this:

Cirrus looks "cool, stylish & mod" in fact justin beiber'll probably want one

The chute makes the uninformed feel good

Actually, I wished I had a parachute on board yesterday morning as I was flying east out of the Knoxville fly-in fun, skirting around a little line of yellow rain but flying along the spine of those high mountains...and it was all IMC below me... And, I don't think I'm uninformed.

Quote:
Interior looks like a Lexus (not my favorite)

Jason likes it better

Fine . . .

Had my wife been better at picking numbers Friday, I'd be placing my order for the one on the left in the morning, and I'm guessing so would most of the others following this.

Let me be clear, I was NOT the one who bought that ticket in Florida and won that lottery. :D

However, if I had, I would not buy either of these two choices. :dancing:

TBM ? Maybe...

_________________
Arlen
Get your motor runnin'
Head out on the highway
- Mars Bonfire


Last edited on 20 May 2013, 07:31, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:30 
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Location: Palm Beach, Florida F45
Username Protected wrote:
A good friend of mine, who has been flying for a looong time and is a very capable pilot (not a newby greenhorn blah blah blah, whatever), and is well-heeled too, recently was in the market for a new plane. He has the money and wouldn't consider used.

He bought a Cirrus, not a Bo. When I asked him why, he said he really didn't even consider the Bo, because the new Cirrus had everything he wanted already installed... namely turbo and FIKI. The chute was just a bonus. To get turbo and FIKI done to a new Bo would have "taken too much time and would have invalidated the warranty." He is a busy guy, knew what he wanted, and didn't want to wait or do the sweat equity. Thus, he really only felt he had one option which was Cirrus.

No question we all love our planes, and most of us are very passionate about them. Part of the reason I love mine is because I get to tinker with it and enjoy the process of incrementally improving it. I suspect that these reasons may make me a dying breed unfortunately. He loves his plane because it was turn-key. He didn't and doesn't want to tinker, period. He just wanted to get in a "state-of-the-art" machine and go. And apparently this is what most new airplane buyers want, and Cirrus has figured this out very well.

Until Beech wakes up and realizes that most folks are buying Cirri for all sorts of reasons, none of which Beech is doing very well apparently, then nothing will change for Beech. Hopefully the good that will come of Beech's BK will be to force them to look in the mirror and realize that they need to make planes that people want to buy, not planes that people want to nurture. If they're smart, they're lurking this thread...


Beech does hear us. I posted in the previous page that a G36 was a corporate flight department backup for their jets, unlike the approach Cirrus took. Therefore, no need for TN, FIKI, user friendly keypads, etc. with those short missions. Now Beech is free of the jets, I think we can expect a complete package shortly. If I don't buy a turbine in the next year or two, my next piston will be loaded at the factory. If Beech doesn't provide then complete package by then, my next airplane could well be a Cirrus!


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:31 
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Location: Palm Beach, Florida F45
Username Protected wrote:
A good friend of mine, who has been flying for a looong time and is a very capable pilot (not a newby greenhorn blah blah blah, whatever), and is well-heeled too, recently was in the market for a new plane. He has the money and wouldn't consider used.

He bought a Cirrus, not a Bo. When I asked him why, he said he really didn't even consider the Bo, because the new Cirrus had everything he wanted already installed... namely turbo and FIKI. The chute was just a bonus. To get turbo and FIKI done to a new Bo would have "taken too much time and would have invalidated the warranty." He is a busy guy, knew what he wanted, and didn't want to wait or do the sweat equity. Thus, he really only felt he had one option which was Cirrus.

No question we all love our planes, and most of us are very passionate about them. Part of the reason I love mine is because I get to tinker with it and enjoy the process of incrementally improving it. I suspect that these reasons may make me a dying breed unfortunately. He loves his plane because it was turn-key. He didn't and doesn't want to tinker, period. He just wanted to get in a "state-of-the-art" machine and go. And apparently this is what most new airplane buyers want, and Cirrus has figured this out very well.

Until Beech wakes up and realizes that most folks are buying Cirri for all sorts of reasons, none of which Beech is doing very well apparently, then nothing will change for Beech. Hopefully the good that will come of Beech's BK will be to force them to look in the mirror and realize that they need to make planes that people want to buy, not planes that people want to nurture. If they're smart, they're lurking this thread...


Beech does hear us. I posted in the previous page that a G36 was a corporate flight department backup for their jets, unlike the approach Cirrus took. Therefore, no need for TN, FIKI, user friendly keypads, etc. with those short missions. Now Beech is free of the jets, I think we can expect a complete package shortly. If I don't buy a turbine in the next year or two, my next piston will be loaded at the factory. If Beech doesn't provide then complete package by then, my next piston could well be a Cirrus!



Sorry, I hit "quote" instead of "edit".....still sleepy!

Last edited on 20 May 2013, 07:34, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:32 
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Beech does hear us. I posted in the previous page that a G36 was a corporate flight department backup for their jets, unlike the approach Cirrus took. Therefore, no need for TN, FIKI, user friendly keypads, etc. with those short missions. Now Beech is free of the jets, I think we can expect a complete package shortly. If I don't buy a turbine in the next year or two, my next piston will be loaded at the factory. If Beech doesn't provide then complete package by then, my next piston could well be a Cirrus!


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 07:53 
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Joined: 05/23/08
Posts: 6062
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Location: CMB7, Ottawa, Canada
Aircraft: TBM - C185 - T206
Sound like you need a TBM Rick, its loaded from the factory also.





Username Protected wrote:
Beech does hear us. I posted in the previous page that a G36 was a corporate flight department backup for their jets, unlike the approach Cirrus took. Therefore, no need for TN, FIKI, user friendly keypads, etc. with those short missions. Now Beech is free of the jets, I think we can expect a complete package shortly. If I don't buy a turbine in the next year or two, my next piston will be loaded at the factory. If Beech doesn't provide then complete package by then, my next piston could well be a Cirrus!

_________________
Former Baron 58 owner.
Pistons engines are for tractors.

Marc Bourdon


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 08:12 
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Username Protected wrote:
Sound like you need a TBM Rick, its loaded from the factory also.






And you get G1000 etc. It's truly the ultimate package from the factory.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 08:20 
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Joined: 02/04/13
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Company: Wolff Group
Location: Queensland
Aircraft: King Air C90GTi
When I sold the G36 and between when the G58 arrived I hired a cirrus 22 and it went well. Nice and roomy and comfortable BUT when things got bumpy and turned to snot like it sometimes can in Aussie I wished I was in a Beech.

Or a helicopter..... So I could just land.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 08:21 
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Username Protected wrote:
David,

I said as much. And there have been multiple posts by insurance specialists that the insurance companies are effectively making guesses about who/how/what to underwrite based previous company loss ratios. Not based on true market data, discounts all for the same way. Based on a gut instinct. There is not enough data to truly make a conclusion.

Probably true, but at the macro level I don't think they do the opposite of what makes sense. In other words, charging more for a retract makes sense. Charging less for an IR pilot makes sense, statistically speaking.

And really the whole insurance thing was not even what I was disputing. You seem to be under the impression that higher time pilots and instrument rated pilots are more likely to get in an accident than lower time and/or VFR-only pilots. I believe you got this impression by grossly misinterpreting some statistics you read, and I was trying to point that out before you spread misinformation all over the interwebs!

Here's a quote from the Cirrus article you linked: "Unfortunately, we do not know the proportion of Cirrus pilots with high or low experience. Therefore, we cannot determine if pilots with low experience have a greater rate of accidents."

See, the author of that article gets it. Unfortunately, that one line was the only thing to prevent people from falling into the huge trap they laid with those graphs showing that more Cirri crashed with high time pilots on board than low time pilots...

Take it from the guy who has loaded over 70k accident reports into a postgres database to run queries on them (me). Per flight hour, higher time pilots are safer. A lot safer.

Quote:
But I can tell you this, most discounts for IR, ATP.... are wrong but I will take full advantage of them. Here is an example for IR:
-- More pilots have a PPL without an IR than with.
-- Logic would have people think because there are more VFR pilots than IFR qualified pilots there would be more accidents with VFR only pilots. If you check the numbers for Cirrus, and the unscientific sample I did. Guess what, they do not match logic.

Actually, logic would not have that at all. It's quite possible that all those VFR-only pilots never even leave the ground. That would make it pretty hard for them to get in an accident! Now, we know they do, in fact, fly... but my point is they might fly far, far less than their IR counterparts. If all you have is the total number of VFR and IFR qualified pilots, you cannot speculate as to which group should get in more accidents, because you don't know which group flies more.
Quote:
-- Insurance companies do not care if you fly one hour or a thousand hours a year when they write the policy. The number of hours flown is immaterial for a specific pilot. The risk is spread across the average number of hours flown by everyone in the pool.

Once you have the points above you can look for any linkages you want between type of flying (e.g. in worse weather, XC, flight hours). The discount for IR does not match actual exposure for the insurance company.


Again, I realize calculating aviation insurance premiums is more of an art than a science, but I'm pretty sure they get the big ticket items like "IR pilots are safer" right.


David,

You keep thinking per flight hour. Insurance is NOT per flight hour. It is per year! Check your policy and go back and redo the math, even using your DB (personally I prefer MySQL to Postgres, but that is a tangent). You will be very shocked at the outcome.

Tim

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 08:31 
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Back to the topic of who is doing better at sales. I manage and fly 3 SR22's a B100 and a PA31. My last non-pilot owner that wanted a plane had money and wanted something shiny and new. He looked at turn key navajo's for $900,000 and finally decided on an 07 SR22. It was only a couple of years old and went fast and was comfortable. He had flown in barons and many different charter aircraft before and liked the cirrus over all of them, except for the cabin class twins. He likes to fly over water and I even tried to steer him towards a baron and he was happy with the parachute and a raft.

My point is that people that spend $300,000+ do not want a 30 year old airframe or design. This is one reason why cirrus is selling very well and they hold their value pretty well for a new design. My 07 G3's have only lost about 15% if their value from new and I could sell them in a week if I wanted to for pretty much what we paid for them.

On the subject of bad saleman, I've heard of a recent large contract loss of cessna to piper simply based on people not returning phone calls. Millions of dollars gone because people don't call back.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 08:56 
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Username Protected wrote:
A good friend of mine, who has been flying for a looong time and is a very capable pilot (not a newby greenhorn blah blah blah, whatever), and is well-heeled too, recently was in the market for a new plane. He has the money and wouldn't consider used.

He bought a Cirrus, not a Bo. When I asked him why, he said he really didn't even consider the Bo, because the new Cirrus had everything he wanted already installed... namely turbo and FIKI. The chute was just a bonus. To get turbo and FIKI done to a new Bo would have "taken too much time and would have invalidated the warranty." He is a busy guy, knew what he wanted, and didn't want to wait or do the sweat equity. Thus, he really only felt he had one option which was Cirrus.

No question we all love our planes, and most of us are very passionate about them. Part of the reason I love mine is because I get to tinker with it and enjoy the process of incrementally improving it. I suspect that these reasons may make me a dying breed unfortunately. He loves his plane because it was turn-key. He didn't and doesn't want to tinker, period. He just wanted to get in a "state-of-the-art" machine and go. And apparently this is what most new airplane buyers want, and Cirrus has figured this out very well.

Until Beech wakes up and realizes that most folks are buying Cirri for all sorts of reasons, none of which Beech is doing very well apparently, then nothing will change for Beech. Hopefully the good that will come of Beech's BK will be to force them to look in the mirror and realize that they need to make planes that people want to buy, not planes that people want to nurture. If they're smart, they're lurking this thread...

Game, Set, Match....


Well maybe. But not so fast...

I see a HUGE opportunity here for an entrepreneur (like say...Walter Beech). Terrific name, great airframe. What can be engineered into it to bring it to the 20 th century, where can it me manufactured for a reasonable amount of money, can we start over on marketing, etc.

Someone could do well with the brand. Like Rick I'd fire the sales people . But I'd start with the CEO and work my way through the executive suite first.

But this is unlikely. So, Beech will join a whole long list of sepia tinged memories of dead airplane companies. It's ok with me. It's capitalism. We'll fly what's next and restore old Beeches in the hangar next door.

Hopefully flying a G5 this afternoon if the wx cooperates...

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 09:21 
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Stewart is planning a fly-in in September and looking for Sponsors and GA Companies to fly-in.
So I reached out to the Cirrus rep I know on Saturday evening, he replied this morning with the Texas rep and said they would be at-least interested in discussing. :D
(Contact info PM sent to Stewart)

I will be sending to a few other sales guys I know this evening to see the response time.

Not bad....

Tim


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus is so far out in front.......
PostPosted: 20 May 2013, 09:34 
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Username Protected wrote:
Well maybe. But not so fast...

I see a HUGE opportunity here for an entrepreneur (like say...Walter Beech). Terrific name, great airframe. What can be engineered into it to bring it to the 20 th century, where can it me manufactured for a reasonable amount of money, can we start over on marketing, etc.

Someone could do well with the brand. Like Rick I'd fire the sales people . But I'd start with the CEO and work my way through the executive suite first.

But this is unlikely. So, Beech will join a whole long list of sepia tinged memories of dead airplane companies. It's ok with me. It's capitalism. We'll fly what's next and restore old Beeches in the hangar next door.

Hopefully flying a G5 this afternoon if the wx cooperates...

I've been saying this for years......

Fire everyone at Beech except for the 5 or so guys that build the airframes. Start an aftermarket company (like TAT) that buys the airframes and do a custom buildout for buyers. Add engine, TN, TKS, whatever avionics package the buyer wants, paint and interior. Done.


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