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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 11 Dec 2017, 18:15 
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[color=#008080]Yeah Definitely a clown plane[/color]

One thing for sure the owners don't have their heads nearly as far up their arses.

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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 03:27 
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Username Protected wrote:
And if another recession kicks in and you $5MM investment turns into $2.5MM?
Any recession so severe that cuts stocks in half will have a sharp downward pressure on the price of PC-12s as well.


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 08:33 
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And if another recession kicks in and you $5MM investment turns into $2.5MM?
Any recession so severe that cuts stocks in half will have a sharp downward pressure on the price of PC-12s as well.

If true it would do the same for all planes so there's no benefit buying the older airplane.

You also just changed the subject.

I'm invested in the world lots of ways..... Not one of them has a "guaranteed return of capital". Not 1. My Pilatus is an "investment". One of the biggest reasons I bought it is for it's value retention. I wanted the jet but all I could afford was a Phenom 100. Thank god I didn't go that route as I would have lost half my "investment/capital".

Including "capital cost" in cost of ownership and assuming a 5% return with no risk to capital is fantasy land stuff. You also don't have an airplane if you don't spend money to buy one and in turn don't enjoy all the benefits of owning an airplane so it's a moot point. But it's your money, spend it how you like. I do. :D

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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 09:26 
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Does anyone actually buy a 9 passenger seat Pilatus? It's hard to find a 7 seat PC-12 charter around here, forget 8. 9? sounds like an island hopper - my knees would be behind my ears.

And as much as I could wish it, no PC-12 is going for $1.3mm anytime soon.

Chip-


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 09:29 
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Hi Chip, I’m Chip. And I’m curious about this seat deal myself!

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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 09:30 
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Username Protected wrote:
Does anyone actually buy a 9 passenger seat Pilatus? It's hard to find a 7 seat PC-12 charter around here, forget 8. 9? sounds like an island hopper - my knees would be behind my ears.

And as much as I could wish it, no PC-12 is going for $1.3mm anytime soon.

Chip-

PC12's come with 11 seats. How many you actually install is up to you. To fit all 11 seats you need to remove the lav. 8 total seats is the perfect setup. 9 is fine too.


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 09:56 
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Username Protected wrote:
Does anyone actually buy a 9 passenger seat Pilatus? It's hard to find a 7 seat PC-12 charter around here, forget 8. 9? sounds like an island hopper - my knees would be behind my ears.

And as much as I could wish it, no PC-12 is going for $1.3mm anytime soon.

Chip-


I don't think that is as far in the future as you think. The Denali and PC12 XL are going to push the prices of late model PC12's down. The decreased prices in late models will push the legacy models down, the fleet is aging, the avionics are expensive to maintain. Here is one for 1.6 with a zero time engine (does that mean new engine or run out engine?) several more in the low 2's, and many in that age range with call for price, which suggests with 56 Pilatus for sale on controller, it is shifting to a buyers market. I am sure there are a lot out there that can be had between 1.5 and 2.0. But then you still will have a 4-5 mil older airframe to maintain. I can imagine that in my flying career we will see Pilatus's priced at the residual value of the engines, kind of like we see with old jets.

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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 09:57 
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I don't think that is as far in the future as you think. The Denali and PC12 XL are going to push the prices of late model PC12's down.

Not if they cost $5MM+ new they won't. If the new SETP's can get more speed they can charge more for them because they will eat more into the small jet market than they already are. If they aren't upgraded in any way then you're probably right.

That's an 8000+ hour bird you posted.


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 10:04 
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Username Protected wrote:
I don't think that is as far in the future as you think. The Denali and PC12 XL are going to push the prices of late model PC12's down.

Not if they cost $5MM+ new they won't

That's an 8000+ hour bird you posted.


Chip just said he wanted a 1.3 mil PC12, I just replied won't be that much longer until he can get one. :peace:
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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 10:04 
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Username Protected wrote:
Chip just said he wanted a 1.3 mil PC12, I just replied won't be that much longer until he can get one. :peace:

I edited my post to reflect more of what I was trying to say.

I think a $1.6MM asking price for an 8000 hour PC12 is high high.


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 10:38 
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Username Protected wrote:
Does anyone actually buy a 9 passenger seat Pilatus? It's hard to find a 7 seat PC-12 charter around here, forget 8. 9? sounds like an island hopper - my knees would be behind my ears.

And as much as I could wish it, no PC-12 is going for $1.3mm anytime soon.

Chip-


8 pax seats (so total 10 ppl) with no lav is very comfortable, that's how our "island hoppers" are configured. Plenty of legroom and space for cargo too.


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 10:44 
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STEAM GAUGES!!!!! I CAN'T FLY THAT!


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 10:45 
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For that benefit [a PC-12] is very expensive to acquire.
Not if it holds it's value.

I'd rather spend $4MM on something I can sell years later for $4MM than $700K on something I can't give away later on.
If you're saying "you can't count a notional 5%pa investment gain because they aren't guaranteed" but think of your PC-12 "investment" as having a constant value, I think neither is safe in a 50% equities drawdown scenario.

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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 10:49 
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If you're saying "you can't count a notional 5%pa investment gain because they aren't guaranteed" but think of your PC-12 "investment" as having a constant value, I think neither is safe in a 50% equities drawdown scenario.

Forget the 50% drop.

What investments do you have with a "guaranteed" return of capital investment?

The market value of an airplane fluctuates like any other market asset. It's a calculated risk. No matter how much I calculate risk, there are no guarantees and that includes "guaranteed return on capital investment".


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 Post subject: Re: Best t-prop or jet for $1.3m?
PostPosted: 12 Dec 2017, 10:51 
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Username Protected wrote:

Forget the 50% drop.

What investments do you have with a "guaranteed" return of capital investment?

The market value of an airplane fluctuates like any other market asset. It's a calculated risk. No matter how much I calculate risk, there are no guarantees and that includes "guaranteed return on capital investment".


Bitcoin!


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