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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Apr 2015, 15:49 
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Username Protected wrote:
A realist knows which way it will go.

Mike C.

There are no "realists" at Cirrus? You're the only one?

The reasons you say the SF50 won't work are "JET101" reasons. Granted, Cirrus hasn't launched the SF50 yet. But I do not believe they would have spent this amount of time on it in the first place if what you say is true. If what you say is true, the design flaws would have been blatantly obvious when they were sketching the SF50 up on a napkin.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Apr 2015, 16:19 
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Check the history of aviation for flawed designs. Bunches of them went into production and failed in the market place.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Apr 2015, 17:14 
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Username Protected wrote:
If what you say is true, the design flaws would have been blatantly obvious when they were sketching the SF50 up on a napkin.

Which is why no one else is doing an SEJ.

Cirrus is blinded by their piston single success to the realities of building a jet. It seems they didn't have anyone who knew how to use the napkin properly.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Apr 2015, 18:03 
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Username Protected wrote:
Check the history of aviation for flawed designs. Bunches of them went into production and failed in the market place.

No doubt there are. But you are betting against Cirrus. Not some random company with a vaporware jet.

Also,

If what you guys say is true about the SF50, wouldn't Cirrus know it by now and cancel the program? They don't have to release a jet. They will continue to sell tons of SR22's without it. Cirrus would be better off bowing out now than releasing it and having it flop. They'd know by now if it was gonna suck or not.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Apr 2015, 18:17 
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Username Protected wrote:
So when are they anticipating the first customer deliveries ?

Last thing Cirrus said was by end of this year. They won't revise that until absolutely the last minute

Mike C.


Heard Dale Klappmier speak a few weeks ago. He said something along the lines of they will deliver in 2015, but 2015 May end up having a few extra days in it.

He also picked on V tail Bo' s a bit. I think he was just jealous.
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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Apr 2015, 19:33 
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Username Protected wrote:
Check the history of aviation for flawed designs. Bunches of them went into production and failed in the market place.

No doubt there are. But you are betting against Cirrus. Not some random company with a vaporware jet.

Also,

If what you guys say is true about the SF50, wouldn't Cirrus know it by now and cancel the program? They don't have to release a jet. They will continue to sell tons of SR22's without it. Cirrus would be better off bowing out now than releasing it and having it flop. They'd know by now if it was gonna suck or not.


Not sure what business you are in, but it really doesnt matter. Every business has products that are made by good companies that believe in their products. Not all succeed in the market place.

Dont you see products in your business coming on the market that you know wont make it?

Most of the flawed designs that make it into production are by the bigger name manufacturer.

Vaporware companies dont have the resources to get it to production.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 12 Apr 2015, 22:35 
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Username Protected wrote:
No individuals.

Selling positions is a special thing, individuals don't do it directly and only certain brokers do it.

Thus it is not at all surprising that position sales are handled by a small number of brokers and no individuals are direct listing.

Quote:
A pessimist always assumes there is bad news around the corner, an optimist assumes there isn't.

A realist knows which way it will go.

Mike C.


Mike,

There are many brokers that can sell a Cirrus position.
For the SF-50 there really is not that much that is special about the position agreements. Now a PC-12, TBM, CJ... that is another can of worms.

There are at least a dozen Cirrus dealers and brokers who could handle this without any problems.

Tim

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 13 Apr 2015, 08:02 
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Username Protected wrote:
Not sure what business you are in, but it really doesnt matter. Every business has products that are made by good companies that believe in their products. Not all succeed in the market place.

Dont you see products in your business coming on the market that you know wont make it?

Most of the flawed designs that make it into production are by the bigger name manufacturer.

Vaporware companies dont have the resources to get it to production.

What doesn't matter?

You're painting with too broad a stroke. It takes years to bring a plane to market. The design flaws on the airplane that Mike is bringing up are huge. Wouldn't Cirrus know by now that they have a dud?


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 13 Apr 2015, 08:05 
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Without a doubt they know the flaws and limitations of the SEJ. Likely better than anyone else.

They are betting that there will be a sufficient market in spite of the limitations.

They may be right.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 13 Apr 2015, 08:08 
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Username Protected wrote:
Without a doubt they know the flaws and limitations of the SEJ. Likely better than anyone else.

They are betting that there will be a sufficient market in spite of the limitations.

They may be right.

Has Cirrus made a press release that says "Our plane is slow with no range"? The website still shows good numbers.


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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 13 Apr 2015, 09:16 
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Username Protected wrote:
Has Cirrus made a press release that says "Our plane is slow with no range"?

Cirrus said back in 2006 the SF50 will be the "slowest, lowest, and cheapest jet available". So there was awareness that an SEJ is crippled right from the start.

In the current sales brochure, they apparently now think that being slow and low isn't such a hot selling point, so the language now states:

"The Vision SF50 Personal Jet is a breakthrough in personal aviation. It goes faster: 300 KTAS cruising speed. It goes farther: up to 1,200 nm. It carries more payload: up to five adults and two children."

Faster, farther than what? A fixed gear piston single? Really?

But do note the asterisk:

"*Specifications, weights, representations, colors, list of equipment, use of materials and model references, are not warranted or guaranteed to be true or accurate."

Cirrus has yet to release a draft of the AFM performance section. This either means either they don't know what the performance is yet, or that they do and don't want to tell anyone yet.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 13 Apr 2015, 10:10 
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Username Protected wrote:
Not sure what business you are in, but it really doesnt matter. Every business has products that are made by good companies that believe in their products. Not all succeed in the market place.

Dont you see products in your business coming on the market that you know wont make it?

Most of the flawed designs that make it into production are by the bigger name manufacturer.

Vaporware companies dont have the resources to get it to production.

What doesn't matter?

You're painting with too broad a stroke. It takes years to bring a plane to market. The design flaws on the airplane that Mike is bringing up are huge. Wouldn't Cirrus know by now that they have a dud?


I was trying to relate it to something you would be familar with. Your area of expertise has products going to market that bomb. The people sending them to market believe they will be successful. Might not be a good analogy depends on your line of work. No offense intended.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 13 Apr 2015, 10:15 
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Joined: 11/09/13
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Location: KCMA
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Username Protected wrote:
Not sure what business you are in, but it really doesnt matter. Every business has products that are made by good companies that believe in their products. Not all succeed in the market place.

Dont you see products in your business coming on the market that you know wont make it?

Most of the flawed designs that make it into production are by the bigger name manufacturer.

Vaporware companies dont have the resources to get it to production.

What doesn't matter?

You're painting with too broad a stroke. It takes years to bring a plane to market. The design flaws on the airplane that Mike is bringing up are huge. Wouldn't Cirrus know by now that they have a dud?



It takes years and costs a fortune to bring pharmaceuticals and medical devices to market but some of those still bomb.

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 29 Apr 2015, 14:15 
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Latest word from Cirrus; They're claiming certification and initial deliveries by the end of 2015.

http://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/ ... vision-jet

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 Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50
PostPosted: 29 Apr 2015, 14:24 
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Username Protected wrote:
Has Cirrus made a press release that says "Our plane is slow with no range"?

Cirrus said back in 2006 the SF50 will be the "slowest, lowest, and cheapest jet available". So there was awareness that an SEJ is crippled right from the start.

In the current sales brochure, they apparently now think that being slow and low isn't such a hot selling point, so the language now states:

"The Vision SF50 Personal Jet is a breakthrough in personal aviation. It goes faster: 300 KTAS cruising speed. It goes farther: up to 1,200 nm. It carries more payload: up to five adults and two children."

Faster, farther than what? A fixed gear piston single? Really?

But do note the asterisk:

"*Specifications, weights, representations, colors, list of equipment, use of materials and model references, are not warranted or guaranteed to be true or accurate."

Cirrus has yet to release a draft of the AFM performance section. This either means either they don't know what the performance is yet, or that they do and don't want to tell anyone yet.

Mike C.

300KTAS is what they're claiming. Doesn't get much more specific than that

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