09 Dec 2025, 13:52 [ UTC - 5; DST ]
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Username Protected
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Post subject: Re: Blueorigin new glen flight 2  Posted: 15 Nov 2025, 16:48 |
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Joined: 12/24/17
Posts: 1444
Post Likes: +1293
Aircraft: A36
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Technical progress is rarely linear. We have no idea who is actually ahead in whatever metric matters. It's easy to cut corners and show apparent progress early on. That doesn't mean that you won't be overtaken later. The USSR was ahead in the beginning, too.
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Username Protected
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Post subject: Re: Blueorigin new glen flight 2 Posted: 15 Nov 2025, 16:55 |
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Joined: 03/23/11
Posts: 14709
Post Likes: +6849
Location: Frederick, MD
Aircraft: V35A TC
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Username Protected wrote: Technical progress is rarely linear. We have no idea who is actually ahead in whatever metric matters. It's easy to cut corners and show apparent progress early on. That doesn't mean that you won't be overtaken later. The USSR was ahead in the beginning, too. This was all proved out years ago in the early 90's with the Delta Clipper....the only thing missing then was the funding to make it happen. 
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Username Protected
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Post subject: Re: Blueorigin new glen flight 2 Posted: 16 Nov 2025, 14:51 |
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Joined: 01/06/08
Posts: 5362
Post Likes: +3084
Aircraft: B55 P2
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True, but any competition is good for the industry. We'll have to see if SpaceX made a good or bad gamble with their enormous BFR, I don't think its clear yet. Username Protected wrote: Nice job, but this means they are now where SpaceX was about 5 years ago.
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Username Protected
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Post subject: Re: Blueorigin new glen flight 2 Posted: 16 Nov 2025, 15:20 |
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Joined: 09/02/11
Posts: 1980
Post Likes: +2481
Location: N Alabama
Aircraft: 1968 B55
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Username Protected wrote: Nice job, but this means they are now where SpaceX was about 5 years ago. In 2023-2024, it took SpaceX 16 months from first flight of Starship to its first booster landing. In 2025, it took Blue 11 months from first flight of New Glenn to its first booster landing. In 2026, both companies have a really ambitious set of plans. Let's see who scores first. If Blue is able to get Blue Moon safely to the lunar surface, I think you could argue that they're actually ahead of SpaceX in some pretty significant ways.
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